Konyaspor
vs
Başakşehir
Garuda Lions Prediction: Başakşehir
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Konyaspor vs Başakşehir overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Konyaspor vs Başakşehir
| Probability | Konyaspor | Draw | Başakşehir |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.8% | 28.0% | 37.2% |
| Market | 35.5% | 27.2% | 37.3% |
| Final | 35.3% | 27.4% | 37.3% |
| Edge | -0.7% | +0.8% | -0.1% |
Why Başakşehir
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.60, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Konyaspor vs Başakşehir match preview
Konyaspor faces Başakşehir in a Süper Lig matchup with both teams showing contrasting recent form. Konyaspor has recorded one draw and five losses in their last six matches, while Başakşehir has two wins and one draw in their recent outings. The model indicates a close contest, with Konyaspor holding a 35% chance of victory compared to Başakşehir's 37%, and a 28% probability of a draw.
The expected goals suggest a competitive match, with Konyaspor projected to score 1.34 and Başakşehir 1.40. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring with an 8% probability. Additionally, there is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% probability that both teams will score, highlighting the potential for an engaging encounter.
Konyaspor and Başakşehir team news
Konyaspor news
- E. Destan — knee injury
- M. Ibrahimoglu — muscle injury
Başakşehir news
- E. Visca — injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Konyaspor and Başakşehir expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.74
Konyaspor and Başakşehir attack and defence ratings
Konyaspor
Başakşehir
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Konyaspor vs Başakşehir markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Başakşehir | 37.3% | 2.68 | -0.1% | 2.60 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.7% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Konyaspor | 35.3% |
| Draw | 27.4% | |
| Başakşehir | 37.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.9% |
| No | 43.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Başakşehir win | 17.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.3% | |
| Loss | 62.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 8.1% |
Konyaspor vs Başakşehir stats
Konyaspor and Başakşehir recent form
| Konyaspor |
DWLLLL |
| Başakşehir |
WLLDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Konyaspor and Başakşehir season so far
Konyaspor record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Başakşehir record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Konyaspor vs Başakşehir head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-27 | Başakşehir | Konyaspor | Süper Lig | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Konyaspor | Başakşehir | Süper Lig | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Konyaspor vs Başakşehir odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.5%, draw 27.2%, away 37.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.72 | 3.65 | 2.57 |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.40 | 2.45 |
| Betano | 2.65 | 3.40 | 2.52 |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.45 |
| Dafabet | 2.65 | 3.45 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.61 | 3.50 | 2.46 |
| Pinnacle | 2.74 | 3.45 | 2.54 |
| SBO | 2.49 | 3.14 | 2.44 |
| William Hill | 2.60 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .