Samsunspor
vs
Trabzonspor
0 – 3 Full time
| 7′ | L. Tomasson | ||
| 27′ | C. YukselY. Kayan | ||
| 28′ | E. Muci | ||
| 39′ | C. Nwaiwu | ||
| 40′ | Franculino | ||
| 41′ | T. Fink | ||
| 43′ | M. Kabasakal | ||
| 44′ | E. Watt | ||
| 46′ | A. SekongoF. Kaya | ||
| 46′ | E. MuciO. Tufan | ||
| 66′ | E. WattO. Ohlenschlaeger | ||
| 66′ | T. CoulibalyE. Tavsan | ||
| 71′ | M. EskihellacS. Lopes Cabral | ||
| 71′ | FranculinoC. Ozkacar | ||
| 77′ | M. SalahP. Onuachu | ||
| 79′ | J. MendesA. Sousa | ||
| 84′ | A. SimsirT. Jabol-Folcarelli |
Match stats
| 23 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 56 | Possession % | 44 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 22 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 6 |
| 402 | Accurate passes | 309 |
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor
| Probability | Samsunspor | Draw | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.6% | 25.3% | 44.1% |
| Market | 26.2% | 25.7% | 48.0% |
| Final | 27.3% | 25.6% | 47.0% |
| Edge | +1.1% | -0.1% | -1.0% |
Why Trabzonspor
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 1.43.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Samsunspor and Trabzonspor expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.17
Samsunspor and Trabzonspor attack and defence ratings
Samsunspor
Trabzonspor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor: result vs prediction
Samsunspor 0 – 3 Trabzonspor
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Trabzonspor | 47.0% | 2.13 | -1.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Samsunspor | 27.3% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| Trabzonspor | 47.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.8% |
| No | 36.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Trabzonspor win | 24.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 55.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.5% |
| 1-2 | 9.1% | |
| 2-1 | 7.5% |
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor stats
Samsunspor and Trabzonspor recent form
| Samsunspor |
LLLLWD |
| Trabzonspor |
WLWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Samsunspor and Trabzonspor going into this match
Samsunspor record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Trabzonspor record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-23 | Samsunspor | Trabzonspor | Türkiye Kupası | 0-0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Samsunspor | Trabzonspor | Süper Lig | 0-3 |
| 2025-08-31 | Trabzonspor | Samsunspor | Süper Lig | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-25 | Trabzonspor | Samsunspor | Süper Lig | 2-2 |
| 2025-01-04 | Samsunspor | Trabzonspor | Süper Lig | 2-1 |
| 2024-05-04 | Samsunspor | Trabzonspor | Süper Lig | 3-1 |
| 2024-01-11 | Trabzonspor | Samsunspor | Süper Lig | 2-1 |
| 2022-12-21 | Trabzonspor | Samsunspor | Türkiye Kupası | 3-0 |
| 2020-08-29 | Samsunspor | Trabzonspor | Friendlies Clubs | 2-1 |
| 2012-01-15 | Trabzonspor | Samsunspor | Süper Lig | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.2%, draw 25.7%, away 48.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.71 | 3.90 | 1.98 |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 3.60 | 1.91 |
| BetVictor | 3.50 | 3.60 | 1.87 |
| Betano | 3.50 | 3.55 | 1.98 |
| Betfair | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.95 |
| Dafabet | 3.60 | 3.70 | 2.00 |
| Marathonbet | 3.56 | 3.74 | 1.90 |
| Pinnacle | 3.83 | 3.77 | 1.94 |
| SBO | 3.23 | 3.35 | 1.92 |
| William Hill | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.91 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .