Lille
vs
Galatasaray
2 – 4 Full time
| 2′ | Yunus Akgün | ||
| 7′ | Soriba Diaoune | ||
| 21′ | Nabil Bentaleb | ||
| 39′ | Soriba Diaoune | ||
| 44′ | Aleksey Batrakov | ||
| 52′ | Berke Özer | ||
| 59′ | Benjamin André | ||
| 61′ | Victor Osimhen | ||
| 62′ | GabrielMario Lemina | ||
| 62′ | Benjamin AndréMaurits Kjaergaard | ||
| 63′ | Ngal'ayel MukauNianzou Tanguy Kouassi | ||
| 63′ | Maxima GoffiOlivier Giroud | ||
| 75′ | Soriba DiaouneGaëtan Perrin | ||
| 75′ | Nabil BentalebBasar Onal | ||
| 75′ | Baris Alper YilmazEren Elmalı | ||
| 76′ | Yunus AkgünLeroy Sané | ||
| 84′ | Victor OsimhenDeniz Gül | ||
| 85′ | Aleksey Batrakovİlkay Gündoğan | ||
| 85′ | Ismail Jakobs | ||
| 89′ | Gaëtan Perrin |
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 56 | Possession % | 44 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 6 | Offsides | 2 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 450 | Accurate passes | 331 |
Lille vs Galatasaray overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lille vs Galatasaray
| Probability | Lille | Draw | Galatasaray |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.0% | 24.7% | 26.3% |
| Market | 43.1% | 26.0% | 30.9% |
| Final | 44.6% | 25.7% | 29.7% |
| Edge | +1.5% | -0.3% | -1.1% |
Why Lille
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 1.32.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lille and Galatasaray expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.18
Lille and Galatasaray attack and defence ratings
Lille
Galatasaray
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lille vs Galatasaray: result vs prediction
Lille 2 – 4 Galatasaray
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League Stage - 3 fixtures
- Fenerbahçe v Slavia Praha — match page
- Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund — team news & stats
- Liverpool vs Villarreal
- Manchester City v AEK Athens FC — match page
- Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona — team news & stats
- VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid
- FC Porto v PSV Eindhoven — match page
- Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Lille vs Galatasaray markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lille | 44.6% | 2.24 | +1.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lille | 44.6% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Galatasaray | 29.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.9% |
| No | 37.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lille win | 28.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 51.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.2% |
Lille vs Galatasaray stats
Lille and Galatasaray recent form
| Lille |
DLWLWL |
| Galatasaray |
WLWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lille vs Galatasaray head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Lille vs Galatasaray odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.1%, draw 26.0%, away 30.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.26 | 3.78 | 3.25 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.70 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.26 | 3.65 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.22 | 3.72 | 3.20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.22 | 3.76 | 3.21 |
| SBO | 2.16 | 3.52 | 3.01 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .