Viking
vs
Bayern Munich
Garuda Lions Prediction: Bayern Munich
1 β 2 Predicted score Β· 6% model probability
Viking vs Bayern Munich overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Viking vs Bayern Munich
| Probability | Viking | Draw | Bayern Munich |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.3% | 21.4% | 27.3% |
| Market | 4.5% | 7.9% | 87.6% |
| Final | 16.2% | 11.3% | 72.5% |
| Edge | +46.8% | +13.4% | -60.2% |
Why Bayern Munich
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.11, recorded β the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Viking vs Bayern Munich match preview
Viking faces Bayern Munich in the UEFA Champions League with a kickoff scheduled for October 13, 2026. The model indicates a strong likelihood of a Bayern Munich victory at 71%, while Viking has a 17% chance of winning and a 12% probability of a draw. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring with a 6% probability. The match is expected to feature over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams scoring at 74%.
In terms of recent form, Viking has recorded three wins, one loss, and one draw in their last six matches, while Bayern Munich has achieved five wins and one draw in the same timeframe. The expected goals suggest Viking may generate 2.30, compared to Bayern's 1.67, indicating a potentially competitive match despite the probabilities favoring the visitors.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Viking and Bayern Munich expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.78
Viking and Bayern Munich attack and defence ratings
Viking
Bayern Munich
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Viking vs Bayern Munich markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bayern Munich | 72.5% | 1.38 | -60.2% | 1.11 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.7% | 1.32 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.8% | 1.36 | β | β |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 88.7% | 1.13 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 74.7% | 1.34 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Viking | 16.2% |
| Draw | 11.3% | |
| Bayern Munich | 72.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.8% |
| No | 26.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 27.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 88.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 83.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bayern Munich win | 11.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13.4% | |
| Loss | 74.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.3% |
| 1-1 | 8.0% | |
| 2-2 | 7.0% |
Viking vs Bayern Munich stats
Viking and Bayern Munich recent form
| WWWWLD | |
| WWWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Viking vs Bayern Munich head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Viking vs Bayern Munich odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 4.5%, draw 7.9%, away 87.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 25.00 | 15.50 | 1.10 |
| Bet365 | 17.00 | 12.00 | 1.10 |
| BetVictor | 21.00 | 11.00 | 1.07 |
| Betano | 23.00 | 10.50 | 1.10 |
| Betfair | 23.00 | 12.00 | 1.08 |
| Dafabet | 20.00 | 12.00 | 1.11 |
| Marathonbet | 21.00 | 13.00 | 1.09 |
| Pinnacle | 17.06 | 13.38 | 1.08 |
| SBO | 11.56 | 8.10 | 1.08 |
| William Hill | 21.00 | 13.00 | 1.08 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .