UEFA Champions League · Full time ·League Stage - 2

Viking vs Bayern Munich

3 – 3 Full time

2′Gianni Stensness
38′Peter Christiansen
45′Nathaniel BrownAlphonso Davies
45′Jonathan TahDayot Upamecano
45′Lennart KarlIsmael Saibari
52′Konrad Laimer
53′Kristoffer Haugen
54′Harry Kane
59′Kristoffer HaugenJesper Daland
60′Harry Kane
67′Jesper Daland
68′Ismael Saibari
71′Luis Díaz
72′Henrik BjørdalHerman Haugen
73′Michael Olise
73′Michael Olise
76′Luis DíazJosip Stanišić
83′Ismael SaibariHiroki Ito
85′Joe BellSimen Kvia Egeskog
85′Henrik HeggheimViljar Helland Vevatne
85′Erik BotheimTobias Moi
90′Herman Haugen

SR-Bank Arena, StavangerReferee: Georgi Nikolov Kabakov

Viking 18%
Draw 12%
Bayern Munich 71%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 25
5 Shots on target 8
34 Possession % 66
5 Corners 15
11 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 2
5 Saves 2
155 Accurate passes 475

Viking vs Bayern Munich overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Viking vs Bayern Munich

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVikingDrawBayern Munich
Model54.9%20.8%24.3%
Market5.2%8.5%86.4%
Final17.6%11.6%70.9%
Edge+12.4%+3.1%-15.5%

Confidence: Medium · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Viking ↓ / Bayern Munich → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 6% 2 5% 9% 7% 3 4% 7% 5% 4+ 4% 7% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 76%
No goals 3%

Viking and Bayern Munich expected goals

Viking 2.39
Bayern Munich 1.58

Total expected goals: 3.97

Viking and Bayern Munich attack and defence ratings

Viking

Attack 1.54 +54%
Defence 0.67 -33%

Bayern Munich

Attack 1.86 +86%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Viking vs Bayern Munich: result vs prediction

Viking 3 – 3 Bayern Munich

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other League Stage - 2 fixtures

UEFA Champions League

Before and after this match

Viking vs Bayern Munich markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bayern Munich 70.9% 1.41 -15.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 75.7% 1.32 — —
Both teams to score Yes 72.8% 1.37 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 88.4% 1.13 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 75.6% 1.32 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Viking17.6%
Draw11.6%
Bayern Munich70.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.575.7%
Under 2.524.3%
Both teams to scoreYes72.8%
No27.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)29.1%
12 (either side)88.4%
X2 (draw or away)82.4%
Handicap -1Bayern Munich win11.5%
Push (exactly one goal)12.8%
Loss75.6%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.5%
1-17.9%
3-16.8%

Viking vs Bayern Munich stats

Viking and Bayern Munich recent form

newest first
Viking WWWWLD
Bayern Munich DWWWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Viking vs Bayern Munich head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Viking vs Bayern Munich odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 5.2%, draw 8.5%, away 86.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 21.00 13.90 1.11
Bet365 15.00 11.00 1.12
BetVictor 20.00 11.50 1.09
Betano 18.00 10.50 1.14
Betfair 20.00 12.00 1.10
Dafabet 17.00 11.00 1.12
Marathonbet 18.50 12.00 1.10
Pinnacle 18.54 11.01 1.11
SBO 16.84 10.60 1.10
William Hill 19.00 13.00 1.08

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 18.52 ▲ +1.52
X 11.25 ▲ +0.25
2 1.10 —

14 snapshots recorded, from .