UEFA Champions League Β· Β·League Stage - 2

Viking vs Bayern Munich

Garuda Lions Prediction: Bayern Munich

1 – 2 Predicted score Β· 6% model probability

Lyse Arena, Stavanger

Viking 16%
Draw 11%
Bayern Munich 73%

Confidence: Medium  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Bayern Munich wins
73%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
97%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
74%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
6% of simulated outcomes

Viking vs Bayern Munich overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Viking vs Bayern Munich

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVikingDrawBayern Munich
Model51.3%21.4%27.3%
Market4.5%7.9%87.6%
Final16.2%11.3%72.5%
Edge+46.8%+13.4%-60.2%

Confidence: Medium

Why Bayern Munich

  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 1.11, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Viking vs Bayern Munich match preview

Viking faces Bayern Munich in the UEFA Champions League with a kickoff scheduled for October 13, 2026. The model indicates a strong likelihood of a Bayern Munich victory at 71%, while Viking has a 17% chance of winning and a 12% probability of a draw. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring with a 6% probability. The match is expected to feature over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams scoring at 74%.

In terms of recent form, Viking has recorded three wins, one loss, and one draw in their last six matches, while Bayern Munich has achieved five wins and one draw in the same timeframe. The expected goals suggest Viking may generate 2.30, compared to Bayern's 1.67, indicating a potentially competitive match despite the probabilities favoring the visitors.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Viking ↓ / Bayern Munich β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 6% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 7% 5% 4+ 6% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 73%
No goals 3%

Viking and Bayern Munich expected goals

Viking 2.24
Bayern Munich 1.53

Total expected goals: 3.78

Viking and Bayern Munich attack and defence ratings

Viking

Attack 1.53 +53%
Defence 0.67 -33%

Bayern Munich

Attack 1.80 +80%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other League Stage - 2 fixtures

UEFA Champions League

Before and after this match

Viking vs Bayern Munich markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bayern Munich 72.5% 1.38 -60.2% 1.11
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 75.7% 1.32 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 73.8% 1.36 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 88.7% 1.13 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 74.7% 1.34 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Viking16.2%
Draw11.3%
Bayern Munich72.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.575.7%
Under 2.524.3%
Both teams to scoreYes73.8%
No26.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)27.5%
12 (either side)88.7%
X2 (draw or away)83.8%
Handicap -1Bayern Munich win11.9%
Push (exactly one goal)13.4%
Loss74.7%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.3%
1-18.0%
2-27.0%

Viking vs Bayern Munich stats

Viking and Bayern Munich recent form

newest first
Viking WWWWLD
Bayern Munich WWWDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Viking vs Bayern Munich head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Viking vs Bayern Munich odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 4.5%, draw 7.9%, away 87.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 25.00 15.50 1.10
Bet365 17.00 12.00 1.10
BetVictor 21.00 11.00 1.07
Betano 23.00 10.50 1.10
Betfair 23.00 12.00 1.08
Dafabet 20.00 12.00 1.11
Marathonbet 21.00 13.00 1.09
Pinnacle 17.06 13.38 1.08
SBO 11.56 8.10 1.08
William Hill 21.00 13.00 1.08

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 21.00 β–² +4.00
X 12.00 β–² +1.00
2 1.08 β–Ό -0.02

6 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 2 Bayern Munich Predicted score 1 – 2 Medium Bet Now
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