Bayern Munich
vs
RasenBallsport Leipzig
6 – 1 Full time
Bayern Munich vs RasenBallsport Leipzig overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bayern Munich vs RasenBallsport Leipzig
| Probability | Bayern Munich | Draw | RasenBallsport Leipzig |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.5% | 19.1% | 19.5% |
| Market | 79.5% | 11.8% | 8.7% |
| Final | 75.0% | 13.6% | 11.4% |
| Edge | -18.0% | +7.3% | +10.7% |
Why Bayern Munich
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.14 vs 1.63.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bayern Munich and RasenBallsport Leipzig expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.77
Bayern Munich and RasenBallsport Leipzig attack and defence ratings
Bayern Munich
RasenBallsport Leipzig
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bayern Munich vs RasenBallsport Leipzig: result vs prediction
Bayern Munich 6 – 1 RasenBallsport Leipzig
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Cologne
- Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07
- FC Schalke 04 v Mainz 05 — match page
- Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart — team news & stats
- Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund
- SV Elversberg v Augsburg — match page
- Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg — team news & stats
- Borussia M.Gladbach v Hoffenheim — match page
Before and after this match
Bayern Munich vs RasenBallsport Leipzig markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bayern Munich | 75.0% | 1.33 | -18.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Bayern Munich win | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bayern Munich | 75.0% |
| Draw | 13.6% | |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig | 11.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 17.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.7% |
| No | 23.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 86.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 25.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bayern Munich win | 43.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.4% | |
| Loss | 38.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.6% |
| 3-1 | 7.1% | |
| 1-1 | 6.4% |
Bayern Munich vs RasenBallsport Leipzig stats
Bayern Munich and RasenBallsport Leipzig recent form
| Bayern Munich |
DDWWWD |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig |
WWLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bayern Munich and RasenBallsport Leipzig going into this match
Bayern Munich record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 3.2 goals per match.
RasenBallsport Leipzig record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Bayern Munich vs RasenBallsport Leipzig head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Bayern Munich | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Friendlies Clubs | 3-1 |
| 2026-02-11 | Bayern Munich | RasenBallsport Leipzig | DFB Pokal | 2-0 |
| 2026-01-17 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga | 1-5 |
| 2025-08-22 | Bayern Munich | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Bundesliga | 6-0 |
| 2025-05-03 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga | 3-3 |
| 2024-12-20 | Bayern Munich | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Bundesliga | 5-1 |
| 2024-02-24 | Bayern Munich | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Bundesliga | 2-1 |
| 2023-09-30 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga | 2-2 |
| 2023-08-12 | Bayern Munich | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Super Cup | 0-3 |
| 2023-05-20 | Bayern Munich | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Bundesliga | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bayern Munich vs RasenBallsport Leipzig odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 78.3%, draw 12.4%, away 9.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.23 | 8.30 | 12.10 |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 7.50 | 9.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.17 | 8.50 | 11.50 |
| Betano | 1.24 | 7.10 | 9.75 |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 7.50 | 11.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.23 | 7.80 | 9.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.21 | 8.20 | 12.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.22 | 8.21 | 10.61 |
| SBO | 1.20 | 6.38 | 7.43 |
| William Hill | 1.20 | 7.00 | 10.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
54 snapshots recorded, from .