Real Madrid
vs
RasenBallsport Leipzig
4 – 1 Full time
| 43′ | Bernardo Silva | ||
| 52′ | Arda Güler | ||
| 63′ | Neil El AynaouiRocco Reitz | ||
| 63′ | Brajan GrudaAndrija Maksimović | ||
| 68′ | Álvaro Fernández Carreras | ||
| 70′ | Rocco Reitz | ||
| 70′ | ViníciusYan Diomande | ||
| 70′ | Álvaro Fernández CarrerasMarc Cucurella | ||
| 73′ | David RaumMax Finkgräfe | ||
| 73′ | Antonio NusaTidiam Gomis | ||
| 78′ | Christopher NkunkuChristoph Baumgartner | ||
| 78′ | Arda GülerBrahim Díaz | ||
| 83′ | Kylian Mbappé | ||
| 85′ | Tidiam Gomis | ||
| 87′ | Yan Diomande | ||
| 88′ | Kylian MbappéCarlos Espí | ||
| 88′ | Jude BellinghamEndrick Felipe Moreira de Sousa |
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 65 | Possession % | 35 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 5 | Saves | 6 |
| 679 | Accurate passes | 355 |
Real Madrid vs RasenBallsport Leipzig overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Real Madrid vs RasenBallsport Leipzig
| Probability | Real Madrid | Draw | RasenBallsport Leipzig |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69.5% | 15.7% | 14.8% |
| Market | 77.5% | 13.0% | 9.5% |
| Final | 75.5% | 13.7% | 10.8% |
| Edge | -2.0% | +0.7% | +1.3% |
Why Real Madrid
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.11 vs 1.49.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Real Madrid and RasenBallsport Leipzig expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.60
Real Madrid and RasenBallsport Leipzig attack and defence ratings
Real Madrid
RasenBallsport Leipzig
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Real Madrid vs RasenBallsport Leipzig: result vs prediction
Real Madrid 4 – 1 RasenBallsport Leipzig
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League Stage - 3 fixtures
- Fenerbahçe v Slavia Praha — match page
- Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund — team news & stats
- Liverpool vs Villarreal
- Manchester City v AEK Athens FC — match page
- Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona — team news & stats
- VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid
- FC Porto v PSV Eindhoven — match page
- Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Real Madrid vs RasenBallsport Leipzig markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Madrid | 75.5% | 1.32 | -2.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Real Madrid win | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Madrid | 75.5% |
| Draw | 13.7% | |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig | 10.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 16.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.5% |
| No | 25.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 86.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 24.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Real Madrid win | 51.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.2% | |
| Loss | 30.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-1 | 7.5% |
| 2-1 | 7.2% | |
| 4-1 | 5.9% |
Real Madrid vs RasenBallsport Leipzig stats
Real Madrid and RasenBallsport Leipzig recent form
| Real Madrid |
WWWLWW |
| RasenBallsport Leipzig |
LWWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Real Madrid vs RasenBallsport Leipzig head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-06 | Real Madrid | RasenBallsport Leipzig | UEFA Champions League | 1-1 |
| 2024-02-13 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Real Madrid | UEFA Champions League | 0-1 |
| 2022-10-25 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | Real Madrid | UEFA Champions League | 3-2 |
| 2022-09-14 | Real Madrid | RasenBallsport Leipzig | UEFA Champions League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Real Madrid vs RasenBallsport Leipzig odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 77.5%, draw 13.0%, away 9.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.26 | 7.60 | 11.10 |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.20 | 7.50 | 11.00 |
| Betano | 1.27 | 7.20 | 10.00 |
| Betfair | 1.22 | 7.50 | 11.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.24 | 7.60 | 9.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.24 | 7.50 | 11.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.24 | 7.09 | 10.16 |
| SBO | 1.23 | 6.95 | 8.87 |
| William Hill | 1.22 | 6.50 | 9.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .