Bundesliga
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
FC Schalke 04
vs
Mainz 05
0 – 1 Full time
| 24′ | Phillip Tietz | ||
| 42′ | Nadiem Amiri | ||
| 45′ | Kaishu Sano | ||
| 60′ | Edin DžekoHwang Hee-Chan | ||
| 60′ | Adrian Tobias GantenbeinJunior Dina Ebimbe | ||
| 71′ | Nikola KatićMaximilian Wöber | ||
| 71′ | Adil AouchicheJunior Chukwubuike Adamu | ||
| 76′ | Lee Jae-SungPaul Nebel | ||
| 76′ | Sheraldo BeckerRansford Konigsdorffer | ||
| 79′ | Robin GosensVitalie Becker | ||
| 86′ | Nadiem AmiriEric Martel | ||
| 90′ | Phillip TietzLennard Maloney | ||
| 90′ | Anthony CaciSilvan Widmer |
FC Schalke 04
32%
Draw
26%
Mainz 05
42%
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 46 | Possession % | 54 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 20 |
| 3 | Offsides | 7 |
| 5 | Saves | 3 |
| 259 | Accurate passes | 340 |
FC Schalke 04 vs Mainz 05 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Schalke 04 vs Mainz 05
| Probability | FC Schalke 04 | Draw | Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.8% | 26.2% | 42.0% |
| Market | 31.6% | 26.4% | 42.0% |
| Final | 31.6% | 26.3% | 42.0% |
| Edge | +0.2% | -0.2% | -0.0% |
Why Mainz 05
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
88%
3+ goals
67%
No goals
5%
FC Schalke 04 and Mainz 05 expected goals
FC Schalke 04
1.77
Mainz 05
1.84
Total expected goals: 3.60
FC Schalke 04 and Mainz 05 attack and defence ratings
FC Schalke 04
Attack
0.91 -9%
Defence
0.80 -20%
Mainz 05
Attack
1.59 +59%
Defence
1.05 +5%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Schalke 04 vs Mainz 05: result vs prediction
FC Schalke 04 0 – 1 Mainz 05
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Cologne
- Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07
- Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart — team news & stats
- Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund
- SV Elversberg v Augsburg — match page
- Bayern Munich vs RasenBallsport Leipzig — team news & stats
- Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg — team news & stats
- Borussia M.Gladbach v Hoffenheim — match page
Before and after this match
FC Schalke 04 vs Mainz 05 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mainz 05 | 42.0% | 2.38 | -0.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Schalke 04 | 31.6% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Mainz 05 | 42.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.8% |
| No | 31.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mainz 05 win | 23.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.2% | |
| Loss | 58.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | |
| 2-1 | 7.5% |
FC Schalke 04 vs Mainz 05 stats
FC Schalke 04 and Mainz 05 recent form
| FC Schalke 04 |
LDWDLW |
| Mainz 05 |
LWLWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Schalke 04 and Mainz 05 going into this match
FC Schalke 04 record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Mainz 05 record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Schalke 04 vs Mainz 05 head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
6FC Schalke 04 wins
3Draws
1Mainz 05 wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-05 | Mainz 05 | FC Schalke 04 | Bundesliga | 2-3 |
| 2022-11-09 | FC Schalke 04 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga | 1-0 |
| 2021-03-05 | FC Schalke 04 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga | 0-0 |
| 2020-11-07 | Mainz 05 | FC Schalke 04 | Bundesliga | 2-2 |
| 2020-02-16 | Mainz 05 | FC Schalke 04 | Bundesliga | 0-0 |
| 2019-09-20 | FC Schalke 04 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga | 2-1 |
| 2019-02-23 | Mainz 05 | FC Schalke 04 | Bundesliga | 3-0 |
| 2018-09-29 | FC Schalke 04 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga | 1-0 |
| 2018-03-09 | Mainz 05 | FC Schalke 04 | Bundesliga | 0-1 |
| 2017-10-20 | FC Schalke 04 | Mainz 05 | Bundesliga | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Schalke 04 vs Mainz 05 odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.8%, draw 26.3%, away 42.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.16 | 3.68 | 2.34 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.70 | 2.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.70 | 2.20 |
| Betano | 3.05 | 3.60 | 2.25 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 3.00 | 3.65 | 2.30 |
| Marathonbet | 3.08 | 3.58 | 2.28 |
| Pinnacle | 3.13 | 3.60 | 2.29 |
| SBO | 2.65 | 3.22 | 2.26 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
3.04 ▲ +0.42
X
3.64 ▲ +0.14
2
2.29 ▼ -0.17
53 snapshots recorded, from .