Augsburg
vs
Bayern Munich
2 – 2 Full time
| 1′ | Robin Fellhauer | ||
| 42′ | Chrislain Matsima | ||
| 43′ | Rodrigo Ribeiro | ||
| 55′ | Ismael Saibari | ||
| 62′ | Hennes Behrens | ||
| 62′ | Seol Young-wooAnton Kade | ||
| 64′ | Rodrigo Ribeiro | ||
| 67′ | Josip StanišićNathaniel Brown | ||
| 67′ | Ismael SaibariSerge Gnabry | ||
| 75′ | Rodrigo RibeiroMert Kömür | ||
| 80′ | Nathaniel Brown | ||
| 82′ | Arijon IbrahimovicMichael Gregoritsch | ||
| 82′ | Juma BahJeffrey Gouweleeuw | ||
| 87′ | Aleksandar PavlovićTom Bischof | ||
| 87′ | Luis DíazLennart Karl |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 30 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 10 |
| 30 | Possession % | 70 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 10 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Offsides | 4 |
| 8 | Saves | 3 |
| 215 | Accurate passes | 582 |
Augsburg vs Bayern Munich overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Augsburg vs Bayern Munich
| Probability | Augsburg | Draw | Bayern Munich |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.2% | 19.2% | 63.7% |
| Market | 7.0% | 10.5% | 82.5% |
| Final | 9.6% | 12.6% | 77.8% |
| Edge | +2.5% | +2.2% | -4.7% |
Why Bayern Munich
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.76 vs 1.62.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Augsburg and Bayern Munich expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.39
Augsburg and Bayern Munich attack and defence ratings
Augsburg
Bayern Munich
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Augsburg vs Bayern Munich: result vs prediction
Augsburg 2 – 2 Bayern Munich
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen — match page
- Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen
- Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV — team news & stats
- Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg — team news & stats
- SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart
- RasenBallsport Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt — match page
- FC Cologne v Borussia M.Gladbach — match page
- Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Augsburg vs Bayern Munich markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bayern Munich | 77.8% | 1.29 | -4.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Bayern Munich win | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Augsburg | 9.6% |
| Draw | 12.6% | |
| Bayern Munich | 77.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 20.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.2% |
| No | 26.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 22.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 87.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 90.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bayern Munich win | 44.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.8% | |
| Loss | 36.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.2% |
| 1-3 | 7.5% | |
| 1-1 | 7.1% |
Augsburg vs Bayern Munich stats
Augsburg and Bayern Munich recent form
| Augsburg |
LDWWWL |
| Bayern Munich |
WWWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Augsburg vs Bayern Munich head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Bayern Munich | Augsburg | Bundesliga | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-30 | Augsburg | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga | 2-3 |
| 2025-04-04 | Augsburg | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga | 1-3 |
| 2024-11-22 | Bayern Munich | Augsburg | Bundesliga | 3-0 |
| 2024-01-27 | Augsburg | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga | 2-3 |
| 2023-08-27 | Bayern Munich | Augsburg | Bundesliga | 3-1 |
| 2023-03-11 | Bayern Munich | Augsburg | Bundesliga | 5-3 |
| 2022-10-19 | Augsburg | Bayern Munich | DFB Pokal | 2-5 |
| 2022-09-17 | Augsburg | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga | 1-0 |
| 2022-04-09 | Bayern Munich | Augsburg | Bundesliga | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Augsburg vs Bayern Munich odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 7.9%, draw 11.1%, away 81.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 13.80 | 9.50 | 1.19 |
| Bet365 | 12.00 | 8.50 | 1.17 |
| BetVictor | 11.50 | 7.50 | 1.13 |
| Betano | 10.75 | 8.00 | 1.20 |
| Betfair | 13.00 | 8.50 | 1.17 |
| Dafabet | 12.00 | 9.00 | 1.19 |
| Marathonbet | 14.00 | 9.30 | 1.16 |
| Pinnacle | 13.58 | 9.14 | 1.16 |
| SBO | 9.26 | 7.05 | 1.15 |
| William Hill | 11.00 | 8.00 | 1.17 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
45 snapshots recorded, from .