Bundesliga
·
Full time
·Matchday 4
Bayern Munich
vs
Union Berlin
7 – 0 Full time
| 18′ | Jamal Musiala | ||
| 38′ | Felix Uduokhai | ||
| 39′ | Harry Kane | ||
| 42′ | Rani Khedira | ||
| 43′ | Michael Olise | ||
| 45′ | Dayot Upamecano | ||
| 45′ | Dayot UpamecanoKim Min-Jae | ||
| 45′ | Emmanuel Latte LathTim Skarke | ||
| 54′ | Harry Kane | ||
| 60′ | Janik HabererAljoscha Kemlein | ||
| 60′ | Woo-Yeong JeongLivan Burcu | ||
| 63′ | Luis DíazIsmael Saibari | ||
| 63′ | Aleksandar PavlovićTom Bischof | ||
| 70′ | Ismael Saibari | ||
| 71′ | Christopher TrimmelZeno Van Den Bosch | ||
| 73′ | Michael Olise | ||
| 76′ | Michael Olise | ||
| 77′ | Harry KaneSerge Gnabry | ||
| 78′ | Livan Burcu | ||
| 82′ | András SchäferDerrick Köhn | ||
| 83′ | Alphonso DaviesNathaniel Brown |
Bayern Munich
89%
Draw
7%
Union Berlin
4%
Match stats
| 23 | Shots | 3 |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 68 | Possession % | 32 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 6 |
| 587 | Accurate passes | 224 |
Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin
| Probability | Bayern Munich | Draw | Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 81.5% | 11.8% | 6.7% |
| Market | 91.5% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Final | 89.0% | 7.2% | 3.8% |
| Edge | -10.1% | +6.2% | +3.9% |
Why Bayern Munich
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.96 vs 1.11.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
95%
3+ goals
84%
No goals
2%
Bayern Munich and Union Berlin expected goals
Bayern Munich
3.96
Union Berlin
1.11
Total expected goals: 5.07
Bayern Munich and Union Berlin attack and defence ratings
Bayern Munich
Attack
1.65 +65%
Defence
0.73 -27%
Union Berlin
Attack
1.04 +4%
Defence
1.31 +31%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin: result vs prediction
Bayern Munich 7 – 0 Union Berlin
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
- Werder Bremen vs Augsburg
- Borussia M.Gladbach v Mainz 05 — match page
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs Freiburg — team news & stats
- Hamburger SV vs FC Cologne
- VfB Stuttgart v Borussia Dortmund — match page
- Bayer Leverkusen vs RasenBallsport Leipzig — team news & stats
- FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg
- SC Paderborn 07 v Hoffenheim — match page
Before and after this match
Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bayern Munich | 89.0% | 1.12 | -10.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 96.2% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Bayern Munich win | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bayern Munich | 89.0% |
| Draw | 7.2% | |
| Union Berlin | 3.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 84.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 15.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.8% |
| No | 34.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 96.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 92.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 11.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bayern Munich win | 66.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.3% | |
| Loss | 18.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-1 | 7.8% |
| 3-0 | 7.1% | |
| 4-1 | 7.0% |
Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin stats
Bayern Munich and Union Berlin recent form
| Bayern Munich |
WWDWWW |
| Union Berlin |
LLDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
7Bayern Munich wins
3Draws
0Union Berlin wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Bayern Munich | Union Berlin | Bundesliga | 4-0 |
| 2025-12-03 | Union Berlin | Bayern Munich | DFB Pokal | 2-3 |
| 2025-11-08 | Union Berlin | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga | 2-2 |
| 2025-03-15 | Union Berlin | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-02 | Bayern Munich | Union Berlin | Bundesliga | 3-0 |
| 2024-04-20 | Union Berlin | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga | 1-5 |
| 2024-01-24 | Bayern Munich | Union Berlin | Bundesliga | 1-0 |
| 2023-02-26 | Bayern Munich | Union Berlin | Bundesliga | 3-0 |
| 2022-09-03 | Union Berlin | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga | 1-1 |
| 2022-03-19 | Bayern Munich | Union Berlin | Bundesliga | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 91.3%, draw 5.7%, away 2.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.05 | 21.00 | 50.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.03 | 19.00 | 29.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.03 | 17.00 | 31.00 |
| Betano | 1.06 | 14.50 | 28.00 |
| Betfair | 1.05 | 19.00 | 46.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.05 | 18.25 | 41.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.05 | 16.36 | 37.85 |
| SBO | 1.05 | 15.40 | 25.96 |
| William Hill | 1.05 | 15.00 | 34.00 |
| winamax_de | 1.10 | 7.75 | 10.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.05 ▼ -0.02
X
17.00 ▲ +9.00
2
34.00 ▲ +22.50
24 snapshots recorded, from .