Slovan Bratislava
vs
Skalica
Garuda Lions Prediction: Skalica
1 – 2 Predicted score · 5% model probability
Slovan Bratislava vs Skalica overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Slovan Bratislava vs Skalica
| Probability | Slovan Bratislava | Draw | Skalica |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58.7% | 21.1% | 20.3% |
| Market | 16.7% | 20.2% | 63.0% |
| Final | 27.2% | 20.4% | 52.4% |
| Edge | +42.0% | +0.8% | -42.8% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.53, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Slovan Bratislava vs Skalica match preview
In the upcoming Slovakia Super Liga match, Slovan Bratislava faces Skalica with model probabilities indicating a competitive encounter. Slovan Bratislava has a 28% chance of winning, while Skalica is favored at 51%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2 in favor of Skalica, occurring with a probability of 5%. With an expected goals tally of 2.31 for Slovan Bratislava and 1.33 for Skalica, the match is anticipated to feature a high-scoring affair, as there is a 70% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance that both teams will score.
Recent form shows Slovan Bratislava with a mixed record of W-D-L-L-L-W, while Skalica has struggled significantly, registering L-L-D-L-L-L in their last six matches. Historically, Slovan Bratislava has dominated their recent encounters with Skalica, winning both of the last two meetings without conceding. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting a blend of model probabilities and market odds.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Slovan Bratislava and Skalica expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.64
Slovan Bratislava and Skalica attack and defence ratings
Slovan Bratislava
Skalica
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Slovan Bratislava vs Skalica markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Skalica | 52.4% | 1.91 | -42.8% | 1.53 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slovan Bratislava | 27.2% |
| Draw | 20.4% | |
| Skalica | 52.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.0% |
| No | 33.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Skalica win | 8.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 11.6% | |
| Loss | 79.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.3% |
| 1-1 | 8.9% | |
| 3-1 | 7.2% |
Slovan Bratislava vs Skalica stats
Slovan Bratislava and Skalica recent form
| Slovan Bratislava |
WDLLLW |
| Skalica |
LLDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Slovan Bratislava and Skalica season so far
Slovan Bratislava record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Skalica record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Slovan Bratislava vs Skalica head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 | Skalica | Slovan Bratislava | Slovakia Super Liga | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-16 | Slovan Bratislava | Skalica | Slovakia Super Liga | 1-0 |
| 2024-11-09 | Slovan Bratislava | Skalica | Super Liga | 3-1 |
| 2024-10-30 | Skalica | Slovan Bratislava | Super Liga | 2-3 |
| 2023-11-12 | Slovan Bratislava | Skalica | Super Liga | 1-0 |
| 2023-08-12 | Skalica | Slovan Bratislava | Super Liga | 1-2 |
| 2023-04-19 | Skalica | Slovan Bratislava | Cup | 3-3 |
| 2023-04-12 | Slovan Bratislava | Skalica | Cup | 2-1 |
| 2022-10-21 | Skalica | Slovan Bratislava | Super Liga | 1-4 |
| 2022-08-07 | Slovan Bratislava | Skalica | Super Liga | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Slovan Bratislava vs Skalica odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 16.7%, draw 20.2%, away 63.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.97 | 4.60 | 1.44 |
| Bet365 | 5.25 | 4.50 | 1.53 |
| BetVictor | 5.75 | 4.33 | 1.45 |
| Betano | 5.30 | 4.40 | 1.53 |
| Betfair | 5.50 | 4.50 | 1.40 |
| Dafabet | 5.40 | 4.50 | 1.51 |
| Marathonbet | 5.90 | 4.60 | 1.43 |
| Pinnacle | 5.74 | 4.63 | 1.46 |
| SBO | 4.72 | 3.83 | 1.44 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.44 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .