Slovakia Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 11

Skalica vs AS Trencin

0 – 2 Full time

9′L. Mikulaj
13′Eynel Soares
46′Eynel SoaresD. Kam
50′R. Potocny
63′S. SulaL. Simko
63′R. PotocnyE. Eshele
64′M. MasikA. Ravas
64′A. Morong
75′P. GonzalezF. Slovak
75′J. PaurC. Ansah
81′L. MikulajF. Kasana
86′H. PavekN. Jovanovic
86′D. BarisO. Podhorin
88′R. Sanusi

Referee: M. Smolak

Skalica 44%
Draw 25%
AS Trencin 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Skalica vs AS Trencin overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Skalica vs AS Trencin

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySkalicaDrawAS Trencin
Model47.2%24.8%28.1%
Market42.4%25.5%32.1%
Final43.6%25.3%31.1%
Edge+4.7%-0.7%-4.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Skalica

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 1.38.
  • The market prices Skalica below the model: +4.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Skalica ↓ / AS Trencin → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 11% 7% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Skalica and AS Trencin expected goals

Skalica 1.84
AS Trencin 1.38

Total expected goals: 3.22

Skalica and AS Trencin attack and defence ratings

Skalica

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 1.17 +17%

AS Trencin

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.35 +35%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Skalica vs AS Trencin: result vs prediction

Skalica 0 – 2 AS Trencin

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Slovakia Super Liga

Before and after this match

Skalica vs AS Trencin markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Skalica 43.6% 2.29 +4.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.4% 1.60 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.0% 1.56 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.7% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.8% 1.89 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Skalica43.6%
Draw25.3%
AS Trencin31.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.4%
Under 2.537.6%
Both teams to scoreYes64.0%
No36.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.9%
12 (either side)74.7%
X2 (draw or away)56.4%
Handicap -1Skalica win26.6%
Push (exactly one goal)20.5%
Loss52.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.2%
2-19.3%
1-27.0%

Skalica vs AS Trencin stats

Skalica and AS Trencin recent form

newest first
Skalica DLLDLL
AS Trencin LLLLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Skalica and AS Trencin going into this match

league record before kick-off

Skalica record

  • They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.

AS Trencin record

  • They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Skalica vs AS Trencin head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Skalica wins 2Draws 5AS Trencin wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-19SkalicaAS TrencinSlovakia Super Liga4-1
2026-03-15AS TrencinSkalicaSlovakia Super Liga2-1
2026-02-28SkalicaAS TrencinSlovakia Super Liga0-1
2025-10-18AS TrencinSkalicaSlovakia Super Liga1-1
2025-05-17AS TrencinSkalicaSuper Liga2-0
2025-03-15SkalicaAS TrencinSuper Liga1-0
2025-03-01SkalicaAS TrencinSuper Liga0-0
2024-10-19AS TrencinSkalicaSuper Liga2-1
2024-04-27SkalicaAS TrencinSuper Liga0-4
2024-03-16AS TrencinSkalicaSuper Liga1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Skalica vs AS Trencin odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.9%, draw 25.6%, away 31.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.22 3.60 2.85
Bet365 2.15 3.75 3.00
BetVictor 2.15 3.50 2.88
Betano 2.15 3.60 3.05
Betfair 2.00 3.70 3.00
Dafabet 2.13 3.65 3.05
Marathonbet 2.20 3.60 2.83
Pinnacle 2.18 3.85 3.00
SBO 2.04 3.24 2.70
William Hill 2.15 3.40 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.17 —
X 3.60 —
2 2.87 ▼ -0.04

13 snapshots recorded, from .