AS Trencin
vs
Dukla Banská Bystrica
Garuda Lions Prediction: AS Trencin
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
AS Trencin vs Dukla Banská Bystrica overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AS Trencin vs Dukla Banská Bystrica
| Probability | AS Trencin | Draw | Dukla Banská Bystrica |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.0% | 23.7% | 31.3% |
| Market | 47.8% | 24.7% | 27.5% |
| Final | 47.1% | 24.4% | 28.5% |
| Edge | -2.8% | -0.9% | +3.8% |
Why AS Trencin
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.59.
Best available price on the pick: 2.00, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
AS Trencin vs Dukla Banská Bystrica match preview
AS Trencin hosts Dukla Banská Bystrica in the Slovakia Super Liga with a kickoff scheduled for October 10, 2026. The model probabilities indicate a 45% chance of an AS Trencin victory, while Dukla Banská Bystrica has a 31% probability of winning, and a draw stands at 24%. The expected goals for AS Trencin are 1.93, compared to 1.59 for Dukla Banská Bystrica.
Recent form shows AS Trencin struggling with three losses in their last six matches, while Dukla Banská Bystrica has a mixed record with two wins in their last six. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of AS Trencin, with a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% likelihood that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AS Trencin and Dukla Banská Bystrica expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.52
AS Trencin and Dukla Banská Bystrica attack and defence ratings
AS Trencin
Dukla Banská Bystrica
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
AS Trencin vs Dukla Banská Bystrica markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AS Trencin | 47.1% | 2.12 | -2.8% | 2.00 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AS Trencin | 47.1% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| Dukla Banská Bystrica | 28.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.9% |
| No | 31.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | AS Trencin win | 25.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 55.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.0% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-2 | 7.2% |
AS Trencin vs Dukla Banská Bystrica stats
AS Trencin and Dukla Banská Bystrica recent form
| AS Trencin |
LLLWLL |
| Dukla Banská Bystrica |
LWLDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AS Trencin and Dukla Banská Bystrica season so far
AS Trencin record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dukla Banská Bystrica record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
AS Trencin vs Dukla Banská Bystrica head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-25 | AS Trencin | Dukla Banská Bystrica | Super Liga | 2-2 |
| 2025-03-29 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | AS Trencin | Super Liga | 2-3 |
| 2024-11-23 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | AS Trencin | Super Liga | 6-1 |
| 2024-08-17 | AS Trencin | Dukla Banská Bystrica | Super Liga | 2-2 |
| 2024-05-11 | AS Trencin | Dukla Banská Bystrica | Super Liga | 2-0 |
| 2024-03-30 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | AS Trencin | Super Liga | 4-2 |
| 2024-02-16 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | AS Trencin | Super Liga | 1-1 |
| 2023-09-30 | AS Trencin | Dukla Banská Bystrica | Super Liga | 1-0 |
| 2023-02-10 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | AS Trencin | Super Liga | 3-0 |
| 2022-08-30 | AS Trencin | Dukla Banská Bystrica | Super Liga | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
AS Trencin vs Dukla Banská Bystrica odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.8%, draw 24.7%, away 27.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.96 | 3.74 | 3.32 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.80 | 3.70 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.70 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 2.00 | 3.70 | 3.35 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.80 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 1.99 | 3.65 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.94 | 3.74 | 3.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 3.81 | 3.47 |
| SBO | 1.89 | 3.21 | 3.04 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .