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Slovakia Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 10

AS Trencin vs Dukla Banská Bystrica

0 – 1 Full time

11′M. Gjorgievski
21′D. Richtarech
49′N. Kubala
60′D. RichtarechK. Vallo
65′M. Duris
66′M. PoomT. Hajovsky
66′F. KasanaM. Boye
66′J. MulderN. Jovanovic
73′E. ArevaloE. Okechukwu
73′M. DurisV. Toth
74′E. Okechukwu
85′D. KamD. Jepihhin
85′P. GonzalezC. Ansah
85′J. PovazanecA. Hanes
85′M. GjorgievskiA. Sivicek

Štadión na Sihoti, TrencinReferee: I. Kruzliak

AS Trencin 47%
Draw 24%
Dukla Banská Bystrica 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

AS Trencin vs Dukla Banská Bystrica overview

Garuda Lions analysis: AS Trencin vs Dukla Banská Bystrica

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAS TrencinDrawDukla Banská Bystrica
Model45.0%23.7%31.3%
Market47.7%24.7%27.6%
Final47.0%24.5%28.5%
Edge-0.7%-0.2%+0.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why AS Trencin

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.59.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

AS Trencin ↓ / Dukla Banská B → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 7% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

AS Trencin and Dukla Banská Bystrica expected goals

AS Trencin 1.93
Dukla Banská Bystrica 1.59

Total expected goals: 3.52

AS Trencin and Dukla Banská Bystrica attack and defence ratings

AS Trencin

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 1.40 +40%

Dukla Banská Bystrica

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.30 +30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

AS Trencin vs Dukla Banská Bystrica: result vs prediction

AS Trencin 0 – 1 Dukla Banská Bystrica

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Slovakia Super Liga

Before and after this match

AS Trencin vs Dukla Banská Bystrica markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 AS Trencin 47.0% 2.13 -0.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 68.2% 1.47 — —
Both teams to score Yes 68.9% 1.45 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.5% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.0% 1.82 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2AS Trencin47.0%
Draw24.5%
Dukla Banská Bystrica28.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.568.2%
Under 2.531.8%
Both teams to scoreYes68.9%
No31.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.5%
12 (either side)75.5%
X2 (draw or away)53.0%
Handicap -1AS Trencin win25.6%
Push (exactly one goal)19.4%
Loss55.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.0%
2-18.8%
1-27.2%

AS Trencin vs Dukla Banská Bystrica stats

AS Trencin and Dukla Banská Bystrica recent form

newest first
AS Trencin LLLWLL
Dukla Banská Bystrica LWLDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

AS Trencin and Dukla Banská Bystrica going into this match

league record before kick-off

AS Trencin record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Dukla Banská Bystrica record

  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.

AS Trencin vs Dukla Banská Bystrica head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3AS Trencin wins 3Draws 4Dukla Banská Bystrica wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-04-25AS TrencinDukla Banská BystricaSuper Liga2-2
2025-03-29Dukla Banská BystricaAS TrencinSuper Liga2-3
2024-11-23Dukla Banská BystricaAS TrencinSuper Liga6-1
2024-08-17AS TrencinDukla Banská BystricaSuper Liga2-2
2024-05-11AS TrencinDukla Banská BystricaSuper Liga2-0
2024-03-30Dukla Banská BystricaAS TrencinSuper Liga4-2
2024-02-16Dukla Banská BystricaAS TrencinSuper Liga1-1
2023-09-30AS TrencinDukla Banská BystricaSuper Liga1-0
2023-02-10Dukla Banská BystricaAS TrencinSuper Liga3-0
2022-08-30AS TrencinDukla Banská BystricaSuper Liga0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

AS Trencin vs Dukla Banská Bystrica odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.7%, draw 24.7%, away 27.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.96 3.74 3.32
Bet365 1.90 3.80 3.70
BetVictor 1.90 3.60 3.40
Betano 2.00 3.70 3.35
Betfair 1.85 3.75 3.30
Dafabet 1.99 3.65 3.40
Marathonbet 1.94 3.74 3.30
Pinnacle 1.95 3.89 3.54
SBO 1.89 3.21 3.04
William Hill 1.91 3.40 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.92 ▼ -0.02
X 3.72 ▼ -0.02
2 3.33 ▲ +0.06

13 snapshots recorded, from .