Slovakia Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 9

Žilina vs AS Trencin

2 – 1 Full time

15′J. ZirkzeeJ. Paur
30′F. Bzdyl
40′F. Bzdyl
54′P. GonzalezM. Poom
56′M. Poom
57′L. Mikulaj
74′M. RoginicK. Bilalovic
74′F. KosaA. Florea
80′K. Bilalovic
87′N. JovanovicD. Kam
88′M. FaskoP. Baleja
90′F. BzdylX. Adang

Referee: F. Glova

Žilina 67%
Draw 19%
AS Trencin 14%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Žilina vs AS Trencin overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Žilina vs AS Trencin

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityŽilinaDrawAS Trencin
Model65.7%16.6%17.7%
Market67.4%19.4%13.2%
Final67.0%18.7%14.3%
Edge-1.7%-2.8%+4.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Žilina

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.05 vs 1.63.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Žilina ↓ / AS Trencin → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 7% 3 7% 6% 4+ 7% 12% 9%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 95%
3+ goals 85%
No goals 1%

Žilina and AS Trencin expected goals

Žilina 3.05
AS Trencin 1.63

Total expected goals: 4.68

Žilina and AS Trencin attack and defence ratings

Žilina

Attack 1.38 +38%
Defence 1.20 +20%

AS Trencin

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 1.40 +40%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Žilina vs AS Trencin: result vs prediction

Žilina 2 – 1 AS Trencin

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Slovakia Super Liga

Before and after this match

Žilina vs AS Trencin markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Žilina 67.0% 1.49 -1.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 84.6% 1.18 — —
Both teams to score Yes 77.1% 1.30 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 85.7% 1.17 — —
Handicap -1 Žilina win 47.3% 2.11 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Žilina67.0%
Draw18.7%
AS Trencin14.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.584.6%
Under 2.515.4%
Both teams to scoreYes77.1%
No22.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)85.7%
12 (either side)81.3%
X2 (draw or away)33.0%
Handicap -1Žilina win47.3%
Push (exactly one goal)18.4%
Loss34.3%
Correct score (top 3)3-17.1%
2-17.0%
3-25.8%

Žilina vs AS Trencin stats

Žilina and AS Trencin recent form

newest first
Žilina DWWWWL
AS Trencin LLWLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Žilina and AS Trencin going into this match

league record before kick-off

Žilina record

  • They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

AS Trencin record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Žilina vs AS Trencin head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Žilina wins 3Draws 1AS Trencin wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-10ŽilinaAS TrencinCup3-0
2025-11-22ŽilinaAS TrencinSlovakia Super Liga4-1
2025-08-17AS TrencinŽilinaSlovakia Super Liga2-1
2024-11-30AS TrencinŽilinaSuper Liga2-4
2024-08-24ŽilinaAS TrencinSuper Liga4-1
2023-11-10AS TrencinŽilinaSuper Liga0-0
2023-08-12ŽilinaAS TrencinSuper Liga5-2
2022-10-01ŽilinaAS TrencinSuper Liga1-1
2022-07-16AS TrencinŽilinaSuper Liga0-0
2021-12-11AS TrencinŽilinaSuper Liga1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Žilina vs AS Trencin odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 67.4%, draw 19.4%, away 13.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.38 4.60 7.28
Bet365 1.40 4.75 7.00
BetVictor 1.33 5.00 6.50
Betano 1.38 4.90 7.00
Betfair 1.30 5.00 6.50
Marathonbet 1.37 4.60 7.20
Pinnacle 1.42 4.65 7.34
SBO 1.32 4.44 5.61
William Hill 1.33 5.00 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.37 ▼ -0.17
X 4.75 ▲ +0.68
2 7.00 ▲ +1.62

11 snapshots recorded, from .