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Slovakia Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 8

AS Trencin vs Dunajska Streda

1 – 4 Full time

2′M. Trusa
18′G. Gagua
39′G. Gagua
46′S. OuroM. Jencus
46′L. BessileN. Jovanovic
46′M. PoomT. Hajovsky
46′C. AnsahJ. Zirkzee
64′J. PaurF. Kasana
66′J. Bationo
67′Eynel Soares
70′M. TrusaA. Gueye
70′P. OwusuA. Sylla
77′A. Sylla
81′P. GonzalezJ. Campagne
81′Z. TronteljS. Jukleroed
81′J. BationoF. Diongue

Referee: P. Kralovic

AS Trencin 19%
Draw 20%
Dunajska Streda 61%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

AS Trencin vs Dunajska Streda overview

Garuda Lions analysis: AS Trencin vs Dunajska Streda

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAS TrencinDrawDunajska Streda
Model14.2%16.9%68.9%
Market20.1%21.4%58.5%
Final18.6%20.3%61.1%
Edge-5.9%-4.4%+10.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Dunajska Streda

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.82 vs 1.28.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Dunajska Streda below the model: +10.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

AS Trencin ↓ / Dunajska Stred → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 6% 9% 1 7% 8% 8% 11% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 78%
No goals 2%

AS Trencin and Dunajska Streda expected goals

AS Trencin 1.28
Dunajska Streda 2.82

Total expected goals: 4.10

AS Trencin and Dunajska Streda attack and defence ratings

AS Trencin

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.27 +27%

Dunajska Streda

Attack 1.62 +62%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

AS Trencin vs Dunajska Streda: result vs prediction

AS Trencin 1 – 4 Dunajska Streda

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Slovakia Super Liga

Before and after this match

AS Trencin vs Dunajska Streda markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Dunajska Streda 61.1% 1.64 +10.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 77.7% 1.29 — —
Both teams to score Yes 68.5% 1.46 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 81.4% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Dunajska Streda win 49.4% 2.02 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2AS Trencin18.6%
Draw20.3%
Dunajska Streda61.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.577.7%
Under 2.522.3%
Both teams to scoreYes68.5%
No31.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)38.9%
12 (either side)79.7%
X2 (draw or away)81.4%
Handicap -1Dunajska Streda win49.4%
Push (exactly one goal)19.4%
Loss31.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-28.4%
1-37.9%
0-26.6%

AS Trencin vs Dunajska Streda stats

AS Trencin and Dunajska Streda recent form

newest first
AS Trencin LWLLDD
Dunajska Streda WWWWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

AS Trencin and Dunajska Streda going into this match

league record before kick-off

AS Trencin record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Dunajska Streda record

  • They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 3.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.

AS Trencin vs Dunajska Streda head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2AS Trencin wins 3Draws 5Dunajska Streda wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-31Dunajska StredaAS TrencinFriendlies Clubs0-0
2025-11-29AS TrencinDunajska StredaSlovakia Super Liga0-3
2025-08-23Dunajska StredaAS TrencinSlovakia Super Liga4-1
2024-12-08Dunajska StredaAS TrencinSuper Liga3-3
2024-09-17AS TrencinDunajska StredaSuper Liga0-3
2023-12-10Dunajska StredaAS TrencinSuper Liga0-0
2023-09-02AS TrencinDunajska StredaSuper Liga1-0
2022-11-12AS TrencinDunajska StredaSuper Liga0-4
2022-08-27Dunajska StredaAS TrencinSuper Liga1-2
2022-05-27Dunajska StredaAS TrencinSuper Liga2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

AS Trencin vs Dunajska Streda odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 20.1%, draw 21.4%, away 58.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.79 4.33 1.58
Bet365 4.50 4.50 1.62
BetVictor 4.60 4.33 1.55
Betano 4.75 4.25 1.60
Betfair 4.60 4.33 1.53
Marathonbet 4.85 4.33 1.56
Pinnacle 4.88 4.52 1.59
SBO 3.90 3.83 1.58
William Hill 4.50 4.00 1.57

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.60 ▲ +0.35
X 4.33 ▲ +0.08
2 1.58 ▼ -0.10

13 snapshots recorded, from .