Slovakia Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 8

Spartak Trnava vs FK Košice

5 – 2 Full time

3′M. Madlenak
18′M. Lausic
36′P. Azango
45′D. Gallovic
48′S. Kosa
57′E. Sabo
57′D. Kruzliak
57′T. Kudlicka
62′T. Moore
62′G. MoistsrapishviliR. Begala
62′F. TrelloD. Poltak
64′E. Sabo
66′K. PalumetsA. Kahvic
67′A. MarasM. Rehus
67′M. SovicM. Dimun
68′L. KhorkheliR. Prochazka
68′K. KostrnaL. Holik
75′T. Kudlicka
77′P. AzangoL. Mehmeti
78′D. GallovicM. Mateas
85′M. Rehus
88′S. Kosa

City Arena Trnava, TrnavaReferee: M. Ruc

Spartak Trnava 52%
Draw 24%
FK Košice 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Spartak Trnava vs FK Košice overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Spartak Trnava vs FK Košice

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySpartak TrnavaDrawFK Košice
Model52.8%23.8%23.5%
Market51.4%24.3%24.3%
Final51.7%24.2%24.1%
Edge+1.4%-0.6%-0.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Spartak Trnava

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 1.27.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Spartak Trnava ↓ / FK Košice → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 11% 6% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

Spartak Trnava and FK Košice expected goals

Spartak Trnava 1.97
FK Košice 1.27

Total expected goals: 3.24

Spartak Trnava and FK Košice attack and defence ratings

Spartak Trnava

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.67 -33%

FK Košice

Attack 1.39 +39%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Spartak Trnava vs FK Košice: result vs prediction

Spartak Trnava 5 – 2 FK Košice

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Slovakia Super Liga

Before and after this match

Spartak Trnava vs FK Košice markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Spartak Trnava 51.7% 1.93 +1.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63.0% 1.59 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.9% 1.59 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.9% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.3% 2.11 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Spartak Trnava51.7%
Draw24.2%
FK Košice24.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563.0%
Under 2.537.0%
Both teams to scoreYes62.9%
No37.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.9%
12 (either side)75.8%
X2 (draw or away)48.3%
Handicap -1Spartak Trnava win31.3%
Push (exactly one goal)21.4%
Loss47.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.8%
2-19.6%
2-07.6%

Spartak Trnava vs FK Košice stats

Spartak Trnava and FK Košice recent form

newest first
Spartak Trnava DLWWWW
FK Košice WDLWDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Spartak Trnava and FK Košice going into this match

league record before kick-off

Spartak Trnava record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.8 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

FK Košice record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
  • They average 3.3 goals per game on the road against 2.3 at home.

Spartak Trnava vs FK Košice head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Spartak Trnava wins 1Draws 2FK Košice wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-11-22FK KošiceSpartak TrnavaSlovakia Super Liga1-2
2025-10-29Spartak TrnavaFK KošiceSlovakia Super Liga3-1
2025-05-04Spartak TrnavaFK KošiceSuper Liga0-1
2025-04-06FK KošiceSpartak TrnavaSuper Liga2-1
2024-12-14Spartak TrnavaFK KošiceSuper Liga1-0
2024-09-15FK KošiceSpartak TrnavaSuper Liga1-1
2024-02-03FK KošiceSpartak TrnavaCup2-3
2023-11-12FK KošiceSpartak TrnavaSuper Liga0-2
2023-09-27Spartak TrnavaFK KošiceSuper Liga3-0
2022-03-01FK KošiceSpartak TrnavaCup1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Spartak Trnava vs FK Košice odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 51.4%, draw 24.3%, away 24.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.82 3.94 3.70
Bet365 1.80 4.00 4.00
BetVictor 1.75 3.80 3.80
Betano 1.83 3.80 3.85
Betfair 1.70 3.80 3.90
Marathonbet 1.80 3.94 3.70
Pinnacle 1.83 4.14 3.80
SBO 1.76 3.43 3.48
William Hill 1.75 3.70 3.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.80 ▲ +0.03
X 3.80 ▼ -0.14
2 3.80 ▲ +0.05

5 snapshots recorded, from .