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Slovakia Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 9

Zemplín Michalovce vs Dukla Banská Bystrica

1 – 0 Full time

34′M. Gjorgievski
46′N. CervantesK. Brosnan
46′M. BednarA. Zubairu
49′A. Hanes
66′V. TothJ. Povazanec
66′A. HanesN. Kubala
66′A. Zubairu
73′T. Dzotsenidze
74′E. MashikeV. Theofanopoulos
77′D. RichtarechMaik
77′E. ArevaloE. Okechukwu
79′P. Danek
83′E. Okechukwu
83′P. DanekT. Walczak
89′Zemplín MichalovceR. Korba

Referee: L. Dzivjak

Zemplín Michalovce 54%
Draw 23%
Dukla Banská Bystrica 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Zemplín Michalovce vs Dukla Banská Bystrica overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Zemplín Michalovce vs Dukla Banská Bystrica

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityZemplín MichalovceDrawDukla Banská Bystrica
Model50.0%24.6%25.3%
Market54.9%22.9%22.1%
Final53.7%23.4%22.9%
Edge-4.9%+1.7%+3.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Zemplín Michalovce

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 1.29.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Zemplín Michal ↓ / Dukla Banská B → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 11% 7% 2 7% 10% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Zemplín Michalovce and Dukla Banská Bystrica expected goals

Zemplín Michalovce 1.87
Dukla Banská Bystrica 1.29

Total expected goals: 3.15

Zemplín Michalovce and Dukla Banská Bystrica attack and defence ratings

Zemplín Michalovce

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Dukla Banská Bystrica

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.38 +38%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Zemplín Michalovce vs Dukla Banská Bystrica: result vs prediction

Zemplín Michalovce 1 – 0 Dukla Banská Bystrica

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Slovakia Super Liga

Before and after this match

Zemplín Michalovce vs Dukla Banská Bystrica markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Zemplín Michalovce 53.7% 1.86 -4.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.0% 1.64 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.2% 1.61 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.1% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.0% 2.00 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Zemplín Michalovce53.7%
Draw23.4%
Dukla Banská Bystrica22.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.0%
Under 2.539.0%
Both teams to scoreYes62.2%
No37.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.1%
12 (either side)76.6%
X2 (draw or away)46.3%
Handicap -1Zemplín Michalovce win28.8%
Push (exactly one goal)21.2%
Loss50.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.3%
2-19.6%
2-07.4%

Zemplín Michalovce vs Dukla Banská Bystrica stats

Zemplín Michalovce and Dukla Banská Bystrica recent form

newest first
Zemplín Michalovce LWWWLD
Dukla Banská Bystrica WLDWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Zemplín Michalovce and Dukla Banská Bystrica going into this match

league record before kick-off

Zemplín Michalovce record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Dukla Banská Bystrica record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.

Zemplín Michalovce vs Dukla Banská Bystrica head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Zemplín Michalovce wins 1Draws 4Dukla Banská Bystrica wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-05-17Dukla Banská BystricaZemplín MichalovceSuper Liga2-3
2025-04-12Zemplín MichalovceDukla Banská BystricaSuper Liga3-3
2025-02-23Zemplín MichalovceDukla Banská BystricaSuper Liga1-0
2024-10-06Dukla Banská BystricaZemplín MichalovceSuper Liga1-0
2024-04-26Zemplín MichalovceDukla Banská BystricaSuper Liga2-0
2024-04-13Dukla Banská BystricaZemplín MichalovceSuper Liga0-1
2023-11-11Dukla Banská BystricaZemplín MichalovceSuper Liga3-1
2023-08-11Zemplín MichalovceDukla Banská BystricaSuper Liga0-3
2023-01-14Zemplín MichalovceDukla Banská BystricaFriendlies Clubs2-1
2022-10-01Dukla Banská BystricaZemplín MichalovceSuper Liga3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Zemplín Michalovce vs Dukla Banská Bystrica odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 54.9%, draw 22.9%, away 22.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.69 3.98 4.24
Bet365 1.73 4.00 4.33
BetVictor 1.67 4.00 4.10
Betano 1.72 4.00 4.15
Betfair 1.65 4.00 4.00
Marathonbet 1.67 3.98 4.25
Pinnacle 1.71 4.18 4.33
SBO 1.63 3.46 3.74
William Hill 1.67 3.75 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.67 ▼ -0.08
X 4.00 ▲ +0.17
2 4.15 ▲ +0.11

13 snapshots recorded, from .