Slovakia Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 9

Skalica vs Podbrezová

0 – 1 Full time

26′P. Karhan
30′P. Kovacik
43′S. TijaniS. Fasko
45′S. Fasko
60′O. DemlM. Khyminets
60′S. StefanikR. Paraj
63′P. PudhorockyM. Masik
63′R. PotocnyE. Eshele
66′M. Masik
75′A. AbdullahiA. Krizan
75′L. SimkoS. Sula
79′B. MrvaljevicK. Miljanic
90′R. Lampreht

Referee: M. Choren

Skalica 33%
Draw 26%
Podbrezová 41%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Skalica vs Podbrezová overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Skalica vs Podbrezová

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySkalicaDrawPodbrezová
Model44.7%23.6%31.8%
Market29.1%26.9%44.0%
Final33.0%26.1%41.0%
Edge+15.6%-3.3%-12.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Podbrezová

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Skalica ↓ / Podbrezová → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 7% 2 5% 9% 7% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 69%
No goals 4%

Skalica and Podbrezová expected goals

Skalica 1.94
Podbrezová 1.62

Total expected goals: 3.57

Skalica and Podbrezová attack and defence ratings

Skalica

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 1.26 +26%

Podbrezová

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 1.32 +32%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Skalica vs Podbrezová: result vs prediction

Skalica 0 – 1 Podbrezová

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Slovakia Super Liga

Before and after this match

Skalica vs Podbrezová markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Podbrezová 41.0% 2.44 -12.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 69.1% 1.45 — —
Both teams to score Yes 69.7% 1.44 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.9% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 68.2% 1.47 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Skalica33.0%
Draw26.1%
Podbrezová41.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.569.1%
Under 2.530.9%
Both teams to scoreYes69.7%
No30.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)59.0%
12 (either side)73.9%
X2 (draw or away)67.0%
Handicap -1Podbrezová win15.8%
Push (exactly one goal)15.9%
Loss68.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.8%
2-18.7%
1-27.2%

Skalica vs Podbrezová stats

Skalica and Podbrezová recent form

newest first
Skalica LDLLLW
Podbrezová DLDLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Skalica and Podbrezová going into this match

league record before kick-off

Skalica record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Podbrezová record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Skalica vs Podbrezová head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Skalica wins 2Draws 5Podbrezová wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-11-08PodbrezováSkalicaSlovakia Super Liga2-0
2025-08-09SkalicaPodbrezováSlovakia Super Liga2-2
2024-11-23SkalicaPodbrezováSuper Liga1-2
2024-08-17PodbrezováSkalicaSuper Liga7-1
2023-12-15SkalicaPodbrezováSuper Liga3-0
2023-09-15PodbrezováSkalicaSuper Liga1-0
2022-10-29PodbrezováSkalicaSuper Liga0-2
2022-08-12SkalicaPodbrezováSuper Liga1-1
2022-03-05SkalicaPodbrezová2. liga0-2
2021-08-13PodbrezováSkalica2. liga1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Skalica vs Podbrezová odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 29.1%, draw 26.9%, away 44.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.20 3.44 2.10
Bet365 3.30 3.50 2.10
BetVictor 3.10 3.40 2.10
Betano 3.25 3.50 2.10
Betfair 3.00 3.50 2.05
Marathonbet 3.18 3.44 2.08
Pinnacle 3.26 3.60 2.15
SBO 2.88 3.04 2.11
William Hill 3.10 3.25 2.05

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.18 ▲ +0.11
X 3.44 ▼ -0.08
2 2.10 ▼ -0.01

13 snapshots recorded, from .