Slovakia Super Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 10
Podbrezová
vs
Spartak Trnava
1 – 3 Full time
| 18′ | T. Kudlicka | ||
| 35′ | T. Kudlicka | ||
| 40′ | M. Lausic | ||
| 40′ | M. Khyminets | ||
| 46′ | E. SaboP. Nwadike | ||
| 46′ | J. KrivakV. Chyla | ||
| 59′ | S. Stefanik | ||
| 63′ | F. MomohB. Mrvaljevic | ||
| 64′ | S. StefanikK. Miljanic | ||
| 66′ | K. Kostrna | ||
| 72′ | P. Azango | ||
| 73′ | T. KudlickaD. Poltak | ||
| 74′ | K. KostrnaL. Holik | ||
| 74′ | O. DemlL. Silagadze | ||
| 74′ | M. KhyminetsM. Rusnak | ||
| 79′ | G. MoistsrapishviliR. Begala | ||
| 82′ | V. Chyla | ||
| 86′ | M. LausicR. Prochazka | ||
| 88′ | M. Chrien | ||
| 90′ | J. Carrion | ||
| 90′ | P. Kovacik |
Podbrezová
36%
Draw
25%
Spartak Trnava
39%
Podbrezová vs Spartak Trnava overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Podbrezová vs Spartak Trnava
| Probability | Podbrezová | Draw | Spartak Trnava |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.8% | 23.2% | 56.0% |
| Market | 41.7% | 25.6% | 32.7% |
| Final | 36.5% | 25.0% | 38.5% |
| Edge | -5.2% | -0.6% | +5.8% |
Why Spartak Trnava
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 1.18.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Spartak Trnava below our published probability: +5.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
84%
3+ goals
62%
No goals
5%
Podbrezová and Spartak Trnava expected goals
Podbrezová
1.18
Spartak Trnava
2.03
Total expected goals: 3.21
Podbrezová and Spartak Trnava attack and defence ratings
Podbrezová
Attack
0.93 -7%
Defence
1.16 +16%
Spartak Trnava
Attack
1.27 +27%
Defence
0.82 -18%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Podbrezová vs Spartak Trnava: result vs prediction
Podbrezová 1 – 3 Spartak Trnava
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Podbrezová vs Spartak Trnava markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Spartak Trnava | 38.5% | 2.59 | +5.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Podbrezová | 36.5% |
| Draw | 25.0% | |
| Spartak Trnava | 38.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% |
| No | 38.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Spartak Trnava win | 34.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 44.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.6% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.3% |
Podbrezová vs Spartak Trnava stats
Podbrezová and Spartak Trnava recent form
| Podbrezová |
WDLDLW |
| Spartak Trnava |
DWDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Podbrezová and Spartak Trnava going into this match
Podbrezová record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Spartak Trnava record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Podbrezová vs Spartak Trnava head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Podbrezová wins
2Draws
6Spartak Trnava wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Podbrezová | Spartak Trnava | Slovakia Super Liga | 0-3 |
| 2026-04-05 | Spartak Trnava | Podbrezová | Slovakia Super Liga | 4-1 |
| 2026-03-03 | Podbrezová | Spartak Trnava | Cup | 4-1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Spartak Trnava | Podbrezová | Slovakia Super Liga | 0-5 |
| 2025-12-03 | Podbrezová | Spartak Trnava | Slovakia Super Liga | 1-3 |
| 2025-05-17 | Spartak Trnava | Podbrezová | Super Liga | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-12 | Podbrezová | Spartak Trnava | Super Liga | 1-2 |
| 2025-02-23 | Spartak Trnava | Podbrezová | Super Liga | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-14 | Spartak Trnava | Podbrezová | Cup | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-05 | Podbrezová | Spartak Trnava | Super Liga | 0-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Podbrezová vs Spartak Trnava odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.7%, draw 25.6%, away 32.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.21 | 3.68 | 2.82 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.60 | 2.85 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.60 | 2.75 |
| Dafabet | 2.24 | 3.60 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.19 | 3.68 | 2.80 |
| Pinnacle | 2.35 | 3.63 | 2.87 |
| SBO | 2.08 | 3.29 | 2.72 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.30 | 2.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.21 ▼ -0.50
X
3.60 ▲ +0.02
2
2.81 ▲ +0.51
15 snapshots recorded, from .