Podbrezová
vs
Spartak Trnava
Garuda Lions Prediction: Spartak Trnava
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Podbrezová vs Spartak Trnava overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Podbrezová vs Spartak Trnava
| Probability | Podbrezová | Draw | Spartak Trnava |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.1% | 23.4% | 55.4% |
| Market | 41.8% | 25.5% | 32.7% |
| Final | 36.7% | 25.0% | 38.4% |
| Edge | -20.7% | -2.1% | +22.8% |
Why Spartak Trnava
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.01 vs 1.19.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Spartak Trnava below the model: +22.8 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 3.00, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Podbrezová vs Spartak Trnava match preview
Podbrezová faces Spartak Trnava in an upcoming Slovakia Super Liga match, with the probabilities indicating a close contest. Podbrezová has a 37% chance of winning, while Spartak Trnava is slightly favored at 38%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-2, with an expected goals tally of 1.19 for Podbrezová and 2.01 for Spartak Trnava.
Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Podbrezová recording one win in their last five matches, while Spartak Trnava has secured three wins in the same period. The model suggests a high likelihood of goals, with a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Podbrezová and Spartak Trnava expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.20
Podbrezová and Spartak Trnava attack and defence ratings
Podbrezová
Spartak Trnava
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Podbrezová vs Spartak Trnava markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Spartak Trnava | 38.4% | 2.61 | +22.8% | 3.00 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.9% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Podbrezová | 36.7% |
| Draw | 25.0% | |
| Spartak Trnava | 38.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% |
| No | 38.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Spartak Trnava win | 33.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 44.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.7% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.3% |
Podbrezová vs Spartak Trnava stats
Podbrezová and Spartak Trnava recent form
| Podbrezová |
WDLDLW |
| Spartak Trnava |
DWDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Podbrezová and Spartak Trnava season so far
Podbrezová record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Spartak Trnava record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Podbrezová vs Spartak Trnava head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Podbrezová | Spartak Trnava | Slovakia Super Liga | 0-3 |
| 2026-04-05 | Spartak Trnava | Podbrezová | Slovakia Super Liga | 4-1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Spartak Trnava | Podbrezová | Slovakia Super Liga | 0-5 |
| 2025-12-03 | Podbrezová | Spartak Trnava | Slovakia Super Liga | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Podbrezová vs Spartak Trnava odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.8%, draw 25.5%, away 32.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.21 | 3.68 | 2.82 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.70 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.75 |
| Betano | 2.22 | 3.60 | 2.92 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.60 | 2.75 |
| Dafabet | 2.18 | 3.60 | 2.95 |
| Marathonbet | 2.19 | 3.68 | 2.80 |
| Pinnacle | 2.30 | 3.61 | 2.82 |
| SBO | 2.05 | 3.24 | 2.69 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .