Ružomberok
vs
Žilina
Garuda Lions Prediction: Žilina
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Ružomberok vs Žilina overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ružomberok vs Žilina
| Probability | Ružomberok | Draw | Žilina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.7% | 22.3% | 54.0% |
| Market | 31.4% | 24.9% | 43.7% |
| Final | 29.5% | 24.3% | 46.2% |
| Edge | -7.7% | -2.7% | +10.4% |
Why Žilina
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 1.40.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Žilina below the model: +10.4 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.18, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Ružomberok vs Žilina match preview
Ružomberok faces Žilina in the Slovakia Super Liga with kickoff scheduled for October 11, 2026. The model indicates a 26% probability of a Ružomberok victory, while Žilina holds a stronger 51% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% likelihood. Both teams are expected to contribute to an exciting match, as there is a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance that both teams will score.
Recent form shows Ružomberok struggling with one win in their last six matches (L-W-D-L-L-L), while Žilina is in strong shape, having won their last six games (W-D-W-W-W-W). In their last two head-to-head encounters, Ružomberok has one win and one draw against Žilina, who has not secured a victory in this matchup. Expected goals are 1.40 for Ružomberok and 2.17 for Žilina, further highlighting the visitors' attacking prowess.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ružomberok and Žilina expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.57
Ružomberok and Žilina attack and defence ratings
Ružomberok
Žilina
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ružomberok vs Žilina markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Žilina | 46.2% | 2.16 | +10.4% | 2.18 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.2% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ružomberok | 29.5% |
| Draw | 24.3% | |
| Žilina | 46.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.6% |
| No | 32.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Žilina win | 33.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 46.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.4% |
| 1-2 | 9.3% | |
| 1-3 | 6.7% |
Ružomberok vs Žilina stats
Ružomberok and Žilina recent form
| Ružomberok |
LWDLLL |
| Žilina |
WDWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ružomberok and Žilina season so far
Ružomberok record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Žilina record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ružomberok vs Žilina head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | Žilina | Ružomberok | Slovakia Super Liga | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-31 | Ružomberok | Žilina | Slovakia Super Liga | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ružomberok vs Žilina odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.4%, draw 24.9%, away 43.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.94 | 3.80 | 2.10 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.70 | 2.10 |
| Betano | 2.92 | 3.70 | 2.18 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.75 | 2.05 |
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 3.65 | 2.15 |
| Marathonbet | 2.92 | 3.80 | 2.08 |
| Pinnacle | 3.00 | 3.63 | 2.18 |
| SBO | 2.69 | 3.32 | 2.01 |
| William Hill | 2.88 | 3.40 | 2.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .