Slovakia Super Liga · Full time ·Matchday 10

Ružomberok vs Žilina

2 – 2 Full time

11′M. Fasko
16′A. Narimanidze
25′A. Narimanidze
27′A. Selecky
29′J. Hladik
34′D. Kostl
35′K. Bari
41′D. Kostka
46′M. FaskoK. Bilalovic
69′V. HranosM. Chobot
69′F. SoucekT. Buchvaldek
70′P. IlkoA. Florea
70′K. BariM. Traore
78′J. HladikM. Boda
78′M. BacikA. Tucny
85′A. MojzisM. Kelemen
90′F. BzdylD. Homet Ruiz
90′D. Kostka
90′J. Albin
90′M. KacerX. Adang

Štadión pod Čebraťom, RuzomberokReferee: L. Dzivjak

Ružomberok 29%
Draw 24%
Žilina 46%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Ružomberok vs Žilina overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ružomberok vs Žilina

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRužomberokDrawŽilina
Model23.3%22.1%54.6%
Market31.5%24.8%43.8%
Final29.4%24.1%46.5%
Edge-2.0%-0.7%+2.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Žilina

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 1.40.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Žilina below our published probability: +2.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ružomberok ↓ / Žilina → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 7% 5% 1 9% 9% 7% 6% 2 6% 6% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 69%
No goals 4%

Ružomberok and Žilina expected goals

Ružomberok 1.40
Žilina 2.19

Total expected goals: 3.59

Ružomberok and Žilina attack and defence ratings

Ružomberok

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Žilina

Attack 1.36 +36%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Ružomberok vs Žilina: result vs prediction

Ružomberok 2 – 2 Žilina

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Slovakia Super Liga

Before and after this match

Ružomberok vs Žilina markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Žilina 46.5% 2.15 +2.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 69.5% 1.44 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.7% 1.48 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.9% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.4% 2.20 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ružomberok29.4%
Draw24.1%
Žilina46.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.569.5%
Under 2.530.5%
Both teams to scoreYes67.7%
No32.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)53.5%
12 (either side)75.9%
X2 (draw or away)70.6%
Handicap -1Žilina win34.0%
Push (exactly one goal)20.6%
Loss45.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.3%
1-29.3%
1-36.8%

Ružomberok vs Žilina stats

Ružomberok and Žilina recent form

newest first
Ružomberok LWDLLL
Žilina WDWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ružomberok and Žilina going into this match

league record before kick-off

Ružomberok record

  • They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Žilina record

  • They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Ružomberok vs Žilina head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Ružomberok wins 3Draws 5Žilina wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-06ŽilinaRužomberokSlovakia Super Liga1-2
2025-08-31RužomberokŽilinaSlovakia Super Liga3-3
2024-11-03RužomberokŽilinaSuper Liga1-0
2024-10-29ŽilinaRužomberokSuper Liga3-1
2024-05-11RužomberokŽilinaSuper Liga1-1
2024-04-12ŽilinaRužomberokSuper Liga0-0
2023-10-28RužomberokŽilinaSuper Liga0-2
2023-07-30ŽilinaRužomberokSuper Liga3-1
2023-05-26ŽilinaRužomberokSuper Liga3-1
2023-02-26ŽilinaRužomberokSuper Liga2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ružomberok vs Žilina odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.5%, draw 24.8%, away 43.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.94 3.80 2.10
Bet365 3.10 3.60 2.15
BetVictor 2.90 3.70 2.10
Betano 2.92 3.70 2.18
Betfair 2.80 3.75 2.05
Dafabet 3.00 3.75 2.12
Marathonbet 2.92 3.80 2.08
Pinnacle 3.15 3.72 2.16
SBO 2.78 3.38 2.02
William Hill 2.90 3.40 2.05

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.92 ▼ -0.62
X 3.71 ▼ -0.13
2 2.10 ▲ +0.22

15 snapshots recorded, from .