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Slovakia Super Liga · ·Matchday 11

Žilina vs Dunajska Streda

Garuda Lions Prediction: Dunajska Streda

1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability

Bet on Dunajska Streda

Referee: P. Ziemba

Žilina 29%
Draw 23%
Dunajska Streda 48%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Dunajska Streda wins
48%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
98%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
76%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
8% of simulated outcomes

Žilina vs Dunajska Streda overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Žilina vs Dunajska Streda

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityŽilinaDrawDunajska Streda
Model20.4%18.1%61.5%
Market32.4%24.4%43.2%
Final29.4%22.8%47.8%
Edge-12.1%-6.3%+18.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Dunajska Streda

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.81 vs 1.64.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Dunajska Streda below the model: +18.4 percentage points of edge.

Best available price on the pick: 2.19, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Žilina vs Dunajska Streda match preview

Žilina faces Dunajska Streda in an upcoming Slovakia Super Liga match with kickoff set for October 18, 2026. According to our model, Žilina has a 31% chance of winning, while Dunajska Streda holds a 46% probability. The expected goals for Žilina are 2.06, compared to 2.48 for Dunajska Streda. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 7%.

In terms of recent form, Žilina has recorded two wins and two draws in their last five matches, while Dunajska Streda has achieved three wins and one draw in the same period. Our model indicates an 83% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and an 81% chance that both teams will score during the match. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Žilina ↓ / Dunajska Stred → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 6% 8% 7% 10% 2 6% 6% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 94%
3+ goals 82%
No goals 2%

Žilina and Dunajska Streda expected goals

Žilina 1.64
Dunajska Streda 2.81

Total expected goals: 4.46

Žilina and Dunajska Streda attack and defence ratings

Žilina

Attack 1.38 +38%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Dunajska Streda

Attack 1.72 +72%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Slovakia Super Liga

Before and after this match

Žilina vs Dunajska Streda markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Dunajska Streda 47.8% 2.09 +18.4% 2.19
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82.2% 1.22 — —
Both teams to score Yes 76.4% 1.31 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 77.2% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Dunajska Streda win 42.6% 2.35 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Žilina29.4%
Draw22.8%
Dunajska Streda47.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.582.2%
Under 2.517.8%
Both teams to scoreYes76.4%
No23.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)52.2%
12 (either side)77.2%
X2 (draw or away)70.6%
Handicap -1Dunajska Streda win42.6%
Push (exactly one goal)18.9%
Loss38.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-27.5%
1-37.1%
2-26.2%
Compare prices for this pick

Žilina vs Dunajska Streda stats

Žilina and Dunajska Streda recent form

newest first
Žilina DWDWWW
Dunajska Streda WDWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Žilina and Dunajska Streda season so far

league record

Žilina record

  • They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Dunajska Streda record

  • They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 3.1 goals per match.
  • They average 3.4 goals per game on the road against 2.8 at home.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Žilina vs Dunajska Streda head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Žilina wins 2Draws 5Dunajska Streda wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-25Dunajska StredaŽilinaSlovakia Super Liga3-1
2026-03-21ŽilinaDunajska StredaSlovakia Super Liga3-1
2026-02-28ŽilinaDunajska StredaSlovakia Super Liga0-0
2025-10-19Dunajska StredaŽilinaSlovakia Super Liga1-2
2025-05-17ŽilinaDunajska StredaSuper Liga0-1
2025-03-15Dunajska StredaŽilinaSuper Liga3-1
2025-02-22ŽilinaDunajska StredaSuper Liga1-1
2024-10-06Dunajska StredaŽilinaSuper Liga0-3
2024-05-18ŽilinaDunajska StredaSuper Liga2-3
2024-03-16Dunajska StredaŽilinaSuper Liga2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Žilina vs Dunajska Streda odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.3%, draw 24.8%, away 42.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.84 3.82 2.15
Bet365 3.00 3.80 2.15
BetVictor 2.88 3.70 2.10
Betano 2.95 3.65 2.18
Betfair 2.70 3.75 2.15
Dafabet 2.95 3.65 2.14
Marathonbet 2.82 3.82 2.13
Pinnacle 2.88 3.81 2.19
SBO 2.68 3.28 2.03
William Hill 2.75 3.50 2.15
Find the best place to bet

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.86 ▼ -0.17
X 3.80 —
2 2.15 ▲ +0.14

12 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 2 Dunajska Streda Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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