Dunajska Streda
vs
Ružomberok
Garuda Lions Prediction: Dunajska Streda
2 – 0 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.96 vs 0.95.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Dunajska Streda is the favourite, not a value bet.
Dunajska Streda vs Ružomberok overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dunajska Streda vs Ružomberok
| Probability | Dunajska Streda | Draw | Ružomberok |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 77.4% | 14.2% | 8.4% |
| Market | 70.2% | 16.9% | 12.9% |
| Final | 72.0% | 16.2% | 11.7% |
| Edge | +1.8% | -0.7% | -1.1% |
Why Dunajska Streda
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.96 vs 0.95.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.36, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.0% per unit staked (our 72.0% × 1.36 − 1).
Dunajska Streda vs Ružomberok match preview
Dunajska Streda enters this match with a strong form, having won their last five games and maintaining an unbeaten streak in their recent fixtures. Their expected goals stand at 2.90, indicating a potent offensive capability. In contrast, Ružomberok has struggled recently, with only one win in their last six matches and an expected goals figure of 0.89, suggesting difficulties in finding the back of the net.
The probabilities from our model heavily favor Dunajska Streda, assigning them a 78% chance of winning, while Ružomberok's chances sit at just 8%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0 in favor of Dunajska Streda, with a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match. Historically, Dunajska Streda has performed well against Ružomberok, winning two of their last three encounters.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dunajska Streda and Ružomberok expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.91
Dunajska Streda and Ružomberok attack and defence ratings
Dunajska Streda
Ružomberok
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dunajska Streda vs Ružomberok markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dunajska Streda | 72.0% | 1.39 | +1.8% | 1.36 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Dunajska Streda win | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dunajska Streda | 72.0% |
| Draw | 16.2% | |
| Ružomberok | 11.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.6% |
| No | 41.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 28.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dunajska Streda win | 58.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.7% | |
| Loss | 22.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 8.8% |
| 3-0 | 8.7% | |
| 2-1 | 8.3% |
Dunajska Streda vs Ružomberok stats
Dunajska Streda and Ružomberok recent form
| Dunajska Streda |
WWDWWW |
| Ružomberok |
WDLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dunajska Streda and Ružomberok season so far
Dunajska Streda record
- They have won 8 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 3.1 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game on the road against 2.8 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ružomberok record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dunajska Streda vs Ružomberok head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Ružomberok | Dunajska Streda | Slovakia Super Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-08 | Ružomberok | Dunajska Streda | Slovakia Super Liga | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-09 | Dunajska Streda | Ružomberok | Slovakia Super Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-03-01 | Dunajska Streda | Ružomberok | Super Liga | 3-0 |
| 2024-10-19 | Ružomberok | Dunajska Streda | Super Liga | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-20 | Dunajska Streda | Ružomberok | Super Liga | 0-0 |
| 2024-03-29 | Ružomberok | Dunajska Streda | Super Liga | 1-1 |
| 2024-02-28 | Dunajska Streda | Ružomberok | Cup | 0-1 |
| 2023-11-11 | Dunajska Streda | Ružomberok | Super Liga | 1-1 |
| 2023-08-12 | Ružomberok | Dunajska Streda | Super Liga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Dunajska Streda vs Ružomberok odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 70.1%, draw 16.9%, away 13.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.30 | 5.50 | 7.75 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 5.25 | 7.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.30 | 5.25 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.34 | 5.40 | 7.10 |
| Betfair | 1.29 | 5.50 | 7.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.36 | 5.40 | 6.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.29 | 5.50 | 7.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.33 | 5.64 | 6.74 |
| SBO | 1.31 | 4.47 | 5.61 |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .