FK Košice
vs
Žilina
Garuda Lions Prediction: FK Košice
2 – 1 Predicted score · 6% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — FK Košice is the favourite, not a value bet.
FK Košice vs Žilina overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FK Košice vs Žilina
| Probability | FK Košice | Draw | Žilina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.5% | 20.0% | 38.5% |
| Market | 51.2% | 22.5% | 26.3% |
| Final | 48.8% | 21.9% | 29.4% |
| Edge | -2.4% | -0.6% | +3.0% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.85, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.8% per unit staked (our 48.8% × 1.85 − 1).
FK Košice vs Žilina match preview
FK Košice faces Žilina in the Slovakia Super Liga with a kickoff scheduled for October 25, 2026. According to our model, FK Košice has a 44% chance of winning, while Žilina's probability stands at 33%, and the likelihood of a draw is 23%. The most probable scoreline is 2-1 in favor of FK Košice, with an 85% chance of over 2.5 goals and an 82% probability that both teams will score.
In terms of recent form, FK Košice has recorded two draws, a win, and two losses in their last five matches, while Žilina has achieved two wins, two draws, and one loss. The head-to-head record shows FK Košice with no wins, two draws, and one loss against Žilina in their last three encounters. The expected goals for FK Košice are 2.39, while Žilina's expected goals are 2.31.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FK Košice and Žilina expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.70
FK Košice and Žilina attack and defence ratings
FK Košice
Žilina
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
FK Košice vs Žilina markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Košice | 48.8% | 2.05 | -2.4% | 1.85 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 82.3% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Košice | 48.8% |
| Draw | 21.9% | |
| Žilina | 29.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 84.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 15.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 82.3% |
| No | 17.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | FK Košice win | 24.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.6% | |
| Loss | 58.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-2 | 6.9% |
| 2-1 | 6.0% | |
| 1-2 | 5.8% |
FK Košice vs Žilina stats
FK Košice and Žilina recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FK Košice and Žilina season so far
FK Košice record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 2.0 at home.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Žilina record
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FK Košice vs Žilina head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Žilina | FK Košice | Slovakia Super Liga | 4-4 |
| 2026-02-22 | FK Košice | Žilina | Slovakia Super Liga | 2-2 |
| 2025-10-04 | Žilina | FK Košice | Slovakia Super Liga | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FK Košice vs Žilina odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.2%, draw 22.5%, away 26.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.82 | 4.10 | 3.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 4.10 | 3.90 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 4.10 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 1.85 | 4.05 | 3.50 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.85 | 4.10 | 3.55 |
| Marathonbet | 1.80 | 4.10 | 3.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.84 | 4.14 | 3.51 |
| SBO | 1.70 | 3.65 | 3.25 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.80 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .