Žilina
vs
Zemplín Michalovce
Garuda Lions Prediction: Žilina
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.45 vs 1.37.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Žilina is the favourite, not a value bet.
Žilina vs Zemplín Michalovce overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Žilina vs Zemplín Michalovce
| Probability | Žilina | Draw | Zemplín Michalovce |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.3% | 20.1% | 19.6% |
| Market | 60.8% | 20.6% | 18.6% |
| Final | 60.7% | 20.5% | 18.9% |
| Edge | -0.1% | -0.1% | +0.2% |
Why Žilina
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.45 vs 1.37.
Best available price on the pick: 1.55, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.0% per unit staked (our 60.7% × 1.55 − 1).
Žilina vs Zemplín Michalovce match preview
Žilina hosts Zemplín Michalovce in a Slovakia Super Liga match with a kickoff scheduled for October 31, 2026. According to our model, Žilina has a 59% probability of winning, while both a draw and a Zemplín Michalovce victory are each at 20%. The expected goals for Žilina stand at 2.41, compared to Zemplín Michalovce's 1.38. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, Žilina has recorded a sequence of L-D-W-D-W-W, while Zemplín Michalovce's last matches show L-D-L-W-L-W. Historically, in their last five encounters, Žilina has won four times, with Zemplín Michalovce claiming one victory. The model indicates a high probability for over 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams to score at 69%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Žilina and Zemplín Michalovce expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.82
Žilina and Zemplín Michalovce attack and defence ratings
Žilina
Zemplín Michalovce
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Žilina vs Zemplín Michalovce markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Žilina | 60.7% | 1.65 | -0.1% | 1.55 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Žilina win | 39.9% | 2.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Žilina | 60.7% |
| Draw | 20.5% | |
| Zemplín Michalovce | 18.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.9% |
| No | 31.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Žilina win | 39.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 39.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.0% |
| 1-1 | 8.1% | |
| 3-1 | 7.4% |
Žilina vs Zemplín Michalovce stats
Žilina and Zemplín Michalovce recent form
| Žilina |
DLDWDW |
| Zemplín Michalovce |
LDLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Žilina and Zemplín Michalovce season so far
Žilina record
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zemplín Michalovce record
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Žilina vs Zemplín Michalovce head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Zemplín Michalovce | Žilina | Slovakia Super Liga | 0-1 |
| 2026-05-05 | Žilina | Zemplín Michalovce | Slovakia Super Liga | 3-2 |
| 2026-04-04 | Zemplín Michalovce | Žilina | Slovakia Super Liga | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-08 | Žilina | Zemplín Michalovce | Slovakia Super Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Zemplín Michalovce | Žilina | Slovakia Super Liga | 2-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Žilina vs Zemplín Michalovce odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.8%, draw 20.6%, away 18.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.53 | 4.50 | 4.90 |
| Betano | 1.55 | 4.45 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.52 | 4.50 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.51 | 4.50 | 4.95 |
| Pinnacle | 1.52 | 4.53 | 5.11 |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 4.00 | 4.75 |