Skalica
vs
Žilina
Garuda Lions Prediction: Žilina
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.42 vs 1.20.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Skalica vs Žilina overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Skalica vs Žilina
| Probability | Skalica | Draw | Žilina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.8% | 19.9% | 63.3% |
| Market | 25.6% | 24.9% | 49.5% |
| Final | 23.4% | 23.7% | 52.9% |
| Edge | -2.2% | -1.3% | +3.5% |
Why Žilina
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.42 vs 1.20.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Žilina below our published probability: +3.5 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.92, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +1.6% per unit staked (our 52.9% × 1.92 − 1).
Skalica vs Žilina match preview
Skalica faces Žilina in the Slovakia Super Liga with a kickoff scheduled for November 7, 2026. According to our model, Skalica has a 23% chance of winning, while Žilina is favored with a 53% probability. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with an expected goals tally of 1.20 for Skalica and 2.42 for Žilina. Recent form shows Skalica struggling with five matches without a win, while Žilina has been more consistent, recording two wins in their last six outings.
In head-to-head encounters over the last ten matches, Skalica has secured 2 wins, Žilina has 5 wins, and there have been 3 draws. Our model indicates a 70% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance that both teams will score in this matchup. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Skalica and Žilina expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.62
Skalica and Žilina attack and defence ratings
Skalica
Žilina
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Skalica vs Žilina markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Žilina | 52.9% | 1.89 | +3.5% | 1.92 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Žilina win | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Skalica | 23.4% |
| Draw | 23.7% | |
| Žilina | 52.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.5% |
| No | 35.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Žilina win | 42.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 36.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.4% |
| 1-1 | 8.6% | |
| 0-2 | 7.8% |
Skalica vs Žilina stats
Skalica and Žilina recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Skalica and Žilina season so far
Skalica record
- They have won 2 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 13 matches.
Žilina record
- They have won 7 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Skalica vs Žilina head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Žilina | Skalica | Slovakia Super Liga | 1-3 |
| 2025-11-25 | Žilina | Skalica | Cup | 3-1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Žilina | Skalica | Slovakia Super Liga | 3-2 |
| 2025-07-27 | Skalica | Žilina | Slovakia Super Liga | 0-0 |
| 2024-12-15 | Skalica | Žilina | Super Liga | 0-0 |
| 2024-09-14 | Žilina | Skalica | Super Liga | 3-2 |
| 2024-02-17 | Skalica | Žilina | Super Liga | 1-1 |
| 2023-09-29 | Žilina | Skalica | Super Liga | 5-3 |
| 2023-02-11 | Žilina | Skalica | Super Liga | 1-0 |
| 2022-08-30 | Skalica | Žilina | Super Liga | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Skalica vs Žilina odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 25.6%, draw 24.9%, away 49.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.69 | 3.70 | 1.86 |
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 3.80 | 1.90 |
| BetVictor | 3.50 | 3.70 | 1.85 |
| Betano | 3.70 | 3.70 | 1.90 |
| Betfair | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.87 |
| Dafabet | 3.60 | 3.70 | 1.92 |
| Marathonbet | 3.68 | 3.70 | 1.84 |
| Pinnacle | 3.98 | 3.86 | 1.86 |
| SBO | 3.02 | 3.20 | 1.90 |
| William Hill | 3.60 | 3.40 | 1.85 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .