Komárno
vs
Zemplín Michalovce
Garuda Lions Prediction: Komárno
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.32 vs 0.91.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Komárno is the favourite, not a value bet.
Komárno vs Zemplín Michalovce overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Komárno vs Zemplín Michalovce
| Probability | Komárno | Draw | Zemplín Michalovce |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.7% | 30.7% | 24.5% |
| Market | 56.0% | 23.5% | 20.5% |
| Final | 53.2% | 25.3% | 21.5% |
| Edge | -2.8% | +1.8% | +1.0% |
Why Komárno
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.32 vs 0.91.
Best available price on the pick: 1.70, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.6% per unit staked (our 53.2% × 1.70 − 1).
Komárno vs Zemplín Michalovce match preview
Komárno hosts Zemplín Michalovce in the Slovakia Super Liga, with a 53% probability of victory for the home side according to our model. The expected goals for Komárno stand at 1.32, while Zemplín Michalovce is projected at 0.91. Recent form shows Komárno with a record of W-D-L-D-L-D, contrasting with Zemplín Michalovce's L-L-D-L-W-L.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Komárno, with a 13% likelihood. Both teams have a 45% chance of scoring, while the probability of over 2.5 goals is at 38%. In their last three encounters, Komárno has not secured a win, recording 2 draws and 1 loss to Zemplín Michalovce.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Komárno and Zemplín Michalovce expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.23
Komárno and Zemplín Michalovce attack and defence ratings
Komárno
Zemplín Michalovce
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Komárno vs Zemplín Michalovce markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Komárno | 53.2% | 1.88 | -2.8% | 1.70 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Komárno | 53.2% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Zemplín Michalovce | 21.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.0% |
| No | 55.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Komárno win | 21.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 55.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 1-0 | 12.9% | |
| 0-0 | 12.1% |
Komárno vs Zemplín Michalovce stats
Komárno and Zemplín Michalovce recent form
| Komárno |
WDLDLD |
| Zemplín Michalovce |
LLDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Komárno and Zemplín Michalovce season so far
Komárno record
- They have won 0 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
Zemplín Michalovce record
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Komárno vs Zemplín Michalovce head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Zemplín Michalovce | Komárno | Slovakia Super Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-02 | Komárno | Zemplín Michalovce | Slovakia Super Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-02 | Zemplín Michalovce | Komárno | Slovakia Super Liga | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Komárno vs Zemplín Michalovce odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.0%, draw 23.5%, away 20.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.65 | 3.96 | 4.54 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 3.80 | 4.50 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.45 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.90 | 4.40 |
| Dafabet | 1.68 | 4.00 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.63 | 3.96 | 4.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68 | 3.97 | 4.57 |
| SBO | 1.56 | 3.52 | 4.17 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.60 | 4.33 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .