Spartak Trnava
vs
Komárno
Garuda Lions Prediction: Spartak Trnava
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 0.82.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Spartak Trnava is the favourite, not a value bet.
Spartak Trnava vs Komárno overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Spartak Trnava vs Komárno
| Probability | Spartak Trnava | Draw | Komárno |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.7% | 28.3% | 18.9% |
| Market | 56.8% | 23.7% | 19.5% |
| Final | 55.8% | 24.9% | 19.3% |
| Edge | -1.0% | +1.2% | -0.1% |
Why Spartak Trnava
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 0.82.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.65, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.9% per unit staked (our 55.8% × 1.65 − 1).
Spartak Trnava vs Komárno match preview
Spartak Trnava hosts Komárno in the Slovakia Super Liga, with a probability of 57% for a home win according to our model. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, predicted at 12%. Spartak Trnava's recent form shows a mixed bag with two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last six matches, while Komárno has struggled, recording six games without a win, including five draws and one loss.
In terms of expected goals, Spartak Trnava is forecasted to score 1.75, while Komárno is expected to net 0.88. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 49%, with both teams to score also at 49%. Historically, Spartak Trnava has dominated their recent encounters with Komárno, winning all three of their last matchups. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Spartak Trnava and Komárno expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.34
Spartak Trnava and Komárno attack and defence ratings
Spartak Trnava
Komárno
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Spartak Trnava vs Komárno markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Spartak Trnava | 55.8% | 1.79 | -1.0% | 1.65 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.3% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Spartak Trnava | 55.8% |
| Draw | 24.9% | |
| Komárno | 19.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.8% |
| No | 55.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Spartak Trnava win | 28.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.7% | |
| Loss | 47.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.5% |
| 1-1 | 13.2% | |
| 2-0 | 11.2% |
Spartak Trnava vs Komárno stats
Spartak Trnava and Komárno recent form
| Spartak Trnava |
DLWDWD |
| Komárno |
DLDLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Spartak Trnava and Komárno season so far
Spartak Trnava record
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Komárno record
- They have won 0 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.4 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Spartak Trnava vs Komárno head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Komárno | Spartak Trnava | Slovakia Super Liga | 1-2 |
| 2025-11-29 | Spartak Trnava | Komárno | Slovakia Super Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Komárno | Spartak Trnava | Slovakia Super Liga | 1-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Spartak Trnava vs Komárno odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.8%, draw 23.7%, away 19.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.64 | 3.92 | 4.72 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 3.85 | 4.85 |
| Dafabet | 1.61 | 3.90 | 4.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.62 | 3.92 | 4.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65 | 3.92 | 4.76 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.60 | 4.60 |