AS Trencin
vs
FK Košice
Garuda Lions Prediction: FK Košice
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.53.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
AS Trencin vs FK Košice overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AS Trencin vs FK Košice
| Probability | AS Trencin | Draw | FK Košice |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.3% | 24.0% | 45.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 30.3% | 24.0% | 45.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why FK Košice
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.53.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
AS Trencin vs FK Košice match preview
AS Trencin faces FK Košice in the Slovakia Super Liga, with kickoff scheduled for October 31, 2026. According to our model, the probabilities indicate a 29% chance for AS Trencin to win, a 22% chance for a draw, and a 49% chance for FK Košice to secure victory. The expected goals suggest AS Trencin will score 1.66, while FK Košice is projected to net 2.15.
Recent form shows AS Trencin with a mixed record of one win in their last six matches, while FK Košice has recorded two wins in their last six. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, with a 73% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 72% chance that both teams will score in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AS Trencin and FK Košice expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.44
AS Trencin and FK Košice attack and defence ratings
AS Trencin
FK Košice
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
AS Trencin vs FK Košice markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Košice | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AS Trencin | 30.3% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| FK Košice | 45.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.7% |
| No | 32.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | FK Košice win | 26.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 54.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.3% |
| 1-2 | 8.9% | |
| 2-1 | 7.2% |
AS Trencin vs FK Košice stats
AS Trencin and FK Košice recent form
| AS Trencin |
DWLLLL |
| FK Košice |
DDDWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AS Trencin and FK Košice season so far
AS Trencin record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FK Košice record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game on the road against 2.0 at home.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
AS Trencin vs FK Košice head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | FK Košice | AS Trencin | Slovakia Super Liga | 3-3 |
| 2026-05-16 | AS Trencin | FK Košice | Slovakia Super Liga | 3-0 |
| 2026-03-07 | FK Košice | AS Trencin | Slovakia Super Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-08 | AS Trencin | FK Košice | Slovakia Super Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-10 | FK Košice | AS Trencin | Slovakia Super Liga | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.