AS Trencin
vs
Slovan Bratislava
Garuda Lions Prediction: Slovan Bratislava
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Slovan Bratislava is the favourite, not a value bet.
AS Trencin vs Slovan Bratislava overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AS Trencin vs Slovan Bratislava
| Probability | AS Trencin | Draw | Slovan Bratislava |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.1% | 24.0% | 36.9% |
| Market | 15.0% | 19.2% | 65.8% |
| Final | 21.0% | 20.4% | 58.6% |
| Edge | +6.0% | +1.2% | -7.2% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.40, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -17.9% per unit staked (our 58.6% × 1.40 − 1).
AS Trencin vs Slovan Bratislava match preview
AS Trencin faces Slovan Bratislava in the Slovakia Super Liga with a predicted probability of 39% for a home win, 24% for a draw, and 37% for an away victory. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of AS Trencin, with an 8% probability. The model suggests a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams scoring at 70%.
Recent form shows AS Trencin with a mixed record of one win in their last six matches, while Slovan Bratislava has two wins in their last six. The expected goals are close, with AS Trencin at 1.79 and Slovan Bratislava at 1.74. In their last two encounters, each team has secured one victory.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AS Trencin and Slovan Bratislava expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.53
AS Trencin and Slovan Bratislava attack and defence ratings
AS Trencin
Slovan Bratislava
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
AS Trencin vs Slovan Bratislava markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slovan Bratislava | 58.6% | 1.71 | -7.2% | 1.40 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.1% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AS Trencin | 21.0% |
| Draw | 20.4% | |
| Slovan Bratislava | 58.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.6% |
| No | 30.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 41.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Slovan Bratislava win | 19.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.5% | |
| Loss | 63.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.2% | |
| 1-2 | 7.9% |
AS Trencin vs Slovan Bratislava stats
AS Trencin and Slovan Bratislava recent form
| AS Trencin |
WLLLLW |
| Slovan Bratislava |
LWLDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AS Trencin and Slovan Bratislava season so far
AS Trencin record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Slovan Bratislava record
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
AS Trencin vs Slovan Bratislava head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Slovan Bratislava | AS Trencin | Slovakia Super Liga | 0-2 |
| 2025-09-27 | AS Trencin | Slovan Bratislava | Slovakia Super Liga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
AS Trencin vs Slovan Bratislava odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 15.0%, draw 19.2%, away 65.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 6.13 | 4.70 | 1.40 |
| Dafabet | 6.20 | 4.90 | 1.40 |