Komárno
vs
AS Trencin
Garuda Lions Prediction: Komárno
1 – 0 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Komárno is the favourite, not a value bet.
Komárno vs AS Trencin overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Komárno vs AS Trencin
| Probability | Komárno | Draw | AS Trencin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.0% | 29.7% | 33.3% |
| Market | 49.2% | 24.5% | 26.3% |
| Final | 46.2% | 25.8% | 28.0% |
| Edge | -3.1% | +1.3% | +1.7% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.98, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.6% per unit staked (our 46.2% × 1.98 − 1).
Komárno vs AS Trencin match preview
Komárno will face AS Trencin in the Slovakia Super Liga, with kickoff scheduled for October 25, 2026. According to our model, Komárno has a 37% chance of winning, while AS Trencin stands at 33%, and a draw is predicted at 30%. The expected goals for Komárno are 1.28, slightly higher than AS Trencin's 1.20. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Komárno, with a 9% probability.
In terms of recent form, Komárno has struggled with five consecutive games without a win, recording four draws and one loss. Conversely, AS Trencin has shown some resilience, winning their last match after a streak of four losses. The head-to-head record over the last five encounters reveals a balanced competition, with each team securing two wins and one draw.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Komárno and AS Trencin expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.47
Komárno and AS Trencin attack and defence ratings
Komárno
AS Trencin
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Komárno vs AS Trencin markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Komárno | 46.2% | 2.17 | -3.1% | 1.98 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Komárno | 46.2% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| AS Trencin | 28.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.6% |
| No | 48.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Komárno win | 17.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 63.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 0-0 | 9.7% | |
| 1-0 | 9.5% |
Komárno vs AS Trencin stats
Komárno and AS Trencin recent form
| Komárno |
LDLDDD |
| AS Trencin |
WLLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Komárno and AS Trencin season so far
Komárno record
- They have won 0 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
AS Trencin record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Komárno vs AS Trencin head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | AS Trencin | Komárno | Slovakia Super Liga | 1-1 |
| 2026-05-03 | AS Trencin | Komárno | Slovakia Super Liga | 1-2 |
| 2026-04-05 | Komárno | AS Trencin | Slovakia Super Liga | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-25 | AS Trencin | Komárno | Slovakia Super Liga | 0-1 |
| 2025-07-26 | Komárno | AS Trencin | Slovakia Super Liga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Komárno vs AS Trencin odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.2%, draw 24.4%, away 26.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.89 | 3.76 | 3.52 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 3.70 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.80 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 1.95 | 3.75 | 3.45 |
| Marathonbet | 1.87 | 3.76 | 3.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.91 | 3.86 | 3.50 |
| SBO | 1.86 | 3.26 | 3.06 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .