Dukla Banská Bystrica
vs
Dunajska Streda
Garuda Lions Prediction: Dunajska Streda
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.83 vs 1.02.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Dunajska Streda overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Dunajska Streda
| Probability | Dukla Banská Bystrica | Draw | Dunajska Streda |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 10.2% | 15.7% | 74.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 10.2% | 15.7% | 74.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Dunajska Streda
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.83 vs 1.02.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Dunajska Streda match preview
Dukla Banská Bystrica faces Dunajska Streda in the Slovakia Super Liga with a significant disparity in expected outcomes. Our model assigns a 10% probability of a Dukla victory, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 74% likelihood that Dunajska Streda will win. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring at a 9% probability, while the expectation for over 2.5 goals stands at 74%.
Recent form shows Dukla Banská Bystrica with a mixed record of D-W-W-L-W-L, while Dunajska Streda is on a strong run with W-W-W-D-W-W. Expected goals calculations indicate Dukla Banská Bystrica at 1.02 and Dunajska Streda at 2.83, reflecting the latter's superior offensive capabilities. In their last encounter, Dunajska Streda secured a victory, adding to Dukla's challenges ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dukla Banská Bystrica and Dunajska Streda expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.84
Dukla Banská Bystrica and Dunajska Streda attack and defence ratings
Dukla Banská Bystrica
Dunajska Streda
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Dunajska Streda markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dunajska Streda | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Dunajska Streda win | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | 10.2% |
| Draw | 15.7% | |
| Dunajska Streda | 74.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.6% |
| No | 39.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 25.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 89.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dunajska Streda win | 54.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 25.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.7% |
| 0-2 | 8.6% | |
| 1-3 | 8.2% |
Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Dunajska Streda stats
Dukla Banská Bystrica and Dunajska Streda recent form
| Dukla Banská Bystrica |
DWWLWL |
| Dunajska Streda |
WWWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dukla Banská Bystrica and Dunajska Streda season so far
Dukla Banská Bystrica record
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
Dunajska Streda record
- They have won 9 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 3.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Dunajska Streda head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Dunajska Streda | Dukla Banská Bystrica | Slovakia Super Liga | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.