Slovakia Super Liga · ·Matchday 13

Ružomberok vs Skalica

Garuda Lions Prediction: Ružomberok

2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability

  • WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Ružomberok is the favourite, not a value bet.
Ružomberok 44%
Draw 27%
Skalica 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Ružomberok wins
44%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
92%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
56%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
8% of simulated outcomes

Ružomberok vs Skalica overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ružomberok vs Skalica

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRužomberokDrawSkalica
Model36.5%28.3%35.2%
Market47.1%26.0%27.0%
Final44.4%26.6%29.0%
Edge-2.6%+0.6%+2.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Ružomberok

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 2.07, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.0% per unit staked (our 44.4% × 2.07 − 1).

Ružomberok vs Skalica match preview

Ružomberok and Skalica are set to clash in the Slovakia Super Liga, with kickoff scheduled for November 1, 2026. According to our model, Ružomberok has a 37% chance of winning, while Skalica stands at 35%, and a draw is predicted at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Ružomberok, with an 8% probability. Both teams show a decent likelihood of scoring, with 56% for both teams to find the net and an overall expectation of 1.36 expected goals for Ružomberok and 1.33 for Skalica.

In terms of recent form, Ružomberok has recorded a mixed bag of results with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. Conversely, Skalica has struggled, managing just one draw and four losses in their recent outings. Historically, in their last five encounters, Ružomberok has not secured a win, with two draws and three losses against Skalica. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ružomberok ↓ / Skalica → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 8% 1 8% 13% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Ružomberok and Skalica expected goals

Ružomberok 1.36
Skalica 1.33

Total expected goals: 2.70

Ružomberok and Skalica attack and defence ratings

Ružomberok

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Skalica

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Slovakia Super Liga

Before and after this match

Ružomberok vs Skalica markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ružomberok 44.4% 2.25 -2.6% 2.07
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.6% 1.98 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.1% 1.78 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.4% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.5% 1.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ružomberok44.4%
Draw26.6%
Skalica29.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.6%
Under 2.549.4%
Both teams to scoreYes56.1%
No43.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.0%
12 (either side)73.4%
X2 (draw or away)55.6%
Handicap -1Ružomberok win17.3%
Push (exactly one goal)19.3%
Loss63.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.5%
2-18.4%
1-28.2%

Ružomberok vs Skalica stats

Ružomberok and Skalica recent form

newest first
Ružomberok LWDLWD
Skalica DLDLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ružomberok and Skalica season so far

league record

Ružomberok record

  • They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Skalica record

  • They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.

Ružomberok vs Skalica head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

0Ružomberok wins 2Draws 3Skalica wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-01SkalicaRužomberokSlovakia Super Liga2-1
2026-05-16SkalicaRužomberokSlovakia Super Liga1-0
2026-04-11RužomberokSkalicaSlovakia Super Liga0-0
2025-11-01SkalicaRužomberokSlovakia Super Liga0-0
2025-08-12RužomberokSkalicaSlovakia Super Liga1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ružomberok vs Skalica odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.1%, draw 26.0%, away 27.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.97 3.55 3.44
Betano 2.07 3.55 3.30
Marathonbet 1.95 3.55 3.42
Pinnacle 1.96 3.65 3.53
William Hill 1.91 3.30 3.40

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.

Prediction snapshot 1 Ružomberok Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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