SV Elversberg
vs
Bayer Leverkusen
3 – 2 Full time
SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen
| Probability | SV Elversberg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.0% | 23.0% | 29.0% |
| Market | 18.9% | 21.3% | 59.8% |
| Final | 26.2% | 21.7% | 52.1% |
| Edge | +29.0% | +1.7% | -30.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
SV Elversberg and Bayer Leverkusen expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.26
SV Elversberg and Bayer Leverkusen attack and defence ratings
SV Elversberg
Bayer Leverkusen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen: result vs prediction
SV Elversberg 3 – 2 Bayer Leverkusen
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
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- FC Cologne vs Hoffenheim
- Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV — team news & stats
- Freiburg vs Werder Bremen
- Augsburg v FC Schalke 04 — match page
Before and after this match
SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 52.1% | 1.92 | -30.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SV Elversberg | 26.2% |
| Draw | 21.7% | |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 52.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.5% |
| No | 24.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bayer Leverkusen win | 15.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13.8% | |
| Loss | 71.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.6% |
| 2-1 | 8.1% | |
| 2-2 | 7.1% |
SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen stats
SV Elversberg and Bayer Leverkusen recent form
| SV Elversberg |
WWLWDW |
| Bayer Leverkusen |
WDLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-29 | Bayer Leverkusen | SV Elversberg | DFB Pokal | 3-0 |
| 2022-07-30 | SV Elversberg | Bayer Leverkusen | DFB Pokal | 4-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.0%, draw 21.1%, away 59.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 4.90 | 4.30 | 1.58 |
| 1xBet | 5.48 | 4.67 | 1.62 |
| 888Sport | 4.80 | 4.20 | 1.57 |
| Bet365 | 5.00 | 4.50 | 1.57 |
| BetVictor | 4.80 | 4.20 | 1.53 |
| Betano | 4.90 | 4.40 | 1.62 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.50 | 1.60 |
| Dafabet | 5.00 | 4.60 | 1.60 |
| Marathonbet | 5.40 | 4.60 | 1.59 |
| Pinnacle | 4.78 | 4.68 | 1.63 |
| SBO | 4.59 | 4.03 | 1.51 |
| Superbet | 5.00 | 4.50 | 1.61 |
| Unibet | 5.25 | 4.30 | 1.54 |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.57 |
| onexbet | 5.58 | 4.78 | 1.59 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
17 snapshots recorded, from .