3. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 3

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Stuttgart II

1 – 0 Full time

Merkur Spiel-ArenaReferee: T. Bauer

Fortuna Düsseldorf 47%
Draw 22%
Stuttgart II 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Stuttgart II overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Stuttgart II

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFortuna DüsseldorfDrawStuttgart II
Model26.1%20.3%53.6%
Market54.5%23.2%22.4%
Final47.4%22.5%30.2%
Edge-28.4%-2.9%+31.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Fortuna Düssel ↓ / Stuttgart II → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 4% 1 7% 8% 7% 7% 2 6% 7% 6% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 93%
3+ goals 79%
No goals 2%

Fortuna Düsseldorf and Stuttgart II expected goals

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.73
Stuttgart II 2.47

Total expected goals: 4.20

Fortuna Düsseldorf and Stuttgart II attack and defence ratings

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Attack 0.69 -31%
Defence 1.31 +31%

Stuttgart II

Attack 1.29 +29%
Defence 1.42 +42%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Stuttgart II: result vs prediction

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1 – 0 Stuttgart II

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

3. Liga

Before and after this match

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Stuttgart II markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Fortuna Düsseldorf 47.4% 2.11 -28.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 79.0% 1.27 — —
Both teams to score Yes 76.0% 1.32 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 77.5% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 73.9% 1.35 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Fortuna Düsseldorf47.4%
Draw22.5%
Stuttgart II30.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.579.0%
Under 2.521.0%
Both teams to scoreYes76.0%
No24.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.8%
12 (either side)77.5%
X2 (draw or away)52.6%
Handicap -1Fortuna Düsseldorf win12.9%
Push (exactly one goal)13.2%
Loss73.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-27.9%
1-17.0%
2-26.8%

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Stuttgart II stats

Fortuna Düsseldorf and Stuttgart II recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Stuttgart II head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Stuttgart II odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 54.5%, draw 23.2%, away 22.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.70 4.10 4.20
1xBet 1.65 3.92 4.20
Bet365 1.65 3.80 4.10
BetVictor 1.57 3.50 3.60
Betano 1.72 4.00 4.15
Betfair 1.67 4.10 4.10
Dafabet 1.71 4.00 4.20
Marathonbet 1.63 3.92 4.15
Pinnacle 1.72 4.09 4.09
SBO 1.64 3.67 3.76
Superbet 1.70 4.00 4.10
William Hill 1.70 3.70 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.69 ▲ +0.20
X 3.96 ▼ -0.37
2 4.10 ▼ -0.90

14 snapshots recorded, from .