Alemannia Aachen
vs
SV Meppen
0 – 3 Full time
Alemannia Aachen vs SV Meppen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Alemannia Aachen vs SV Meppen
| Probability | Alemannia Aachen | Draw | SV Meppen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 74.4% | 16.4% | 9.2% |
| Market | 62.5% | 20.1% | 17.4% |
| Final | 65.4% | 19.2% | 15.4% |
| Edge | +11.9% | -3.7% | -8.2% |
Why Alemannia Aachen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.62 vs 0.85.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Alemannia Aachen below the model: +11.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Alemannia Aachen and SV Meppen expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.47
Alemannia Aachen and SV Meppen attack and defence ratings
Alemannia Aachen
SV Meppen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Alemannia Aachen vs SV Meppen: result vs prediction
Alemannia Aachen 0 – 3 SV Meppen
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
- Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Stuttgart II — team news & stats
- MSV Duisburg vs Würzburger Kickers
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach v FC Ingolstadt 04 — match page
- SV Wehen vs Rot-Weiß Essen — team news & stats
- Verl v Fortuna Köln — match page
- Hoffenheim II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg — team news & stats
- FC Saarbrücken vs Hansa Rostock
- Havelse v Waldhof Mannheim — match page
Before and after this match
Alemannia Aachen vs SV Meppen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alemannia Aachen | 65.4% | 1.53 | +11.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Alemannia Aachen win | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alemannia Aachen | 65.4% |
| Draw | 19.2% | |
| SV Meppen | 15.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% |
| No | 46.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 34.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Alemannia Aachen win | 53.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 25.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.6% |
| 3-0 | 9.3% | |
| 2-1 | 9.1% |
Alemannia Aachen vs SV Meppen stats
Alemannia Aachen and SV Meppen recent form
| Alemannia Aachen |
DWWWDW |
| SV Meppen |
WL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Alemannia Aachen vs SV Meppen head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Alemannia Aachen vs SV Meppen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 62.5%, draw 20.1%, away 17.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.45 | 4.50 | 6.20 |
| 1xBet | 1.43 | 4.70 | 5.36 |
| Bet365 | 1.48 | 4.00 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.50 | 4.60 | 5.50 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.50 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.50 | 4.50 | 5.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.42 | 4.70 | 5.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47 | 5.11 | 5.03 |
| SBO | 1.44 | 3.98 | 4.94 |
| Superbet | 1.50 | 4.40 | 5.15 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.50 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .