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3. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 3

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs FC Ingolstadt 04

0 – 2 Full time

WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, AspachReferee: M. Kluge

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 31%
Draw 26%
FC Ingolstadt 04 43%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs FC Ingolstadt 04 overview

Garuda Lions analysis: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs FC Ingolstadt 04

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySG Sonnenhof GrossaspachDrawFC Ingolstadt 04
Model29.8%25.1%45.1%
Market31.2%26.6%42.1%
Final30.9%26.2%42.9%
Edge-1.4%-1.5%+3.0%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Ingolstadt 04

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 1.42.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices FC Ingolstadt 04 below the model: +3.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

SG Sonnenhof G ↓ / FC Ingolstadt → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 6% 1 11% 9% 2 7% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and FC Ingolstadt 04 expected goals

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1.42
FC Ingolstadt 04 1.78

Total expected goals: 3.20

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and FC Ingolstadt 04 attack and defence ratings

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 1.09 +9%

FC Ingolstadt 04

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs FC Ingolstadt 04: result vs prediction

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 0 – 2 FC Ingolstadt 04

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

3. Liga

Before and after this match

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs FC Ingolstadt 04 markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Ingolstadt 04 42.9% 2.33 +3.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.0% 1.61 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.1% 1.56 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.8% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.9% 1.82 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach30.9%
Draw26.2%
FC Ingolstadt 0442.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.0%
Under 2.538.0%
Both teams to scoreYes64.1%
No35.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)57.1%
12 (either side)73.8%
X2 (draw or away)69.1%
Handicap -1FC Ingolstadt 04 win24.9%
Push (exactly one goal)20.2%
Loss54.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.3%
1-29.2%
2-17.3%

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs FC Ingolstadt 04 stats

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and FC Ingolstadt 04 recent form

newest first
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach DLWL
FC Ingolstadt 04 DDWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs FC Ingolstadt 04 head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach wins 1Draws 1FC Ingolstadt 04 wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2020-06-07FC Ingolstadt 04SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach3. Liga1-1
2019-10-05SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachFC Ingolstadt 043. Liga1-5

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs FC Ingolstadt 04 odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.2%, draw 26.6%, away 42.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.95 3.50 2.25
1xBet 2.94 3.40 2.15
Bet365 2.90 3.40 2.10
Betano 3.05 3.45 2.22
Betfair 2.80 3.50 2.20
Dafabet 3.00 3.50 2.18
Marathonbet 2.89 3.40 2.13
Pinnacle 2.98 3.62 2.20
SBO 2.74 3.12 2.15
Superbet 3.00 3.45 2.20
William Hill 2.90 3.30 2.15

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.94 ▲ +0.33
X 3.45 ▼ -0.20
2 2.18 ▼ -0.04

14 snapshots recorded, from .