FC Saarbrücken
vs
Hansa Rostock
2 – 4 Full time
FC Saarbrücken vs Hansa Rostock overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Saarbrücken vs Hansa Rostock
| Probability | FC Saarbrücken | Draw | Hansa Rostock |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.5% | 20.6% | 28.9% |
| Market | 35.6% | 29.2% | 35.3% |
| Final | 39.3% | 27.0% | 33.7% |
| Edge | +15.0% | -8.6% | -6.4% |
Why FC Saarbrücken
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.43 vs 1.84.
- The market prices FC Saarbrücken below the model: +15.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Saarbrücken and Hansa Rostock expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.27
FC Saarbrücken and Hansa Rostock attack and defence ratings
FC Saarbrücken
Hansa Rostock
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Saarbrücken vs Hansa Rostock: result vs prediction
FC Saarbrücken 2 – 4 Hansa Rostock
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
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- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach v FC Ingolstadt 04 — match page
- SV Wehen vs Rot-Weiß Essen — team news & stats
- Alemannia Aachen vs SV Meppen
- Verl v Fortuna Köln — match page
- Hoffenheim II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg — team news & stats
- Havelse v Waldhof Mannheim — match page
Before and after this match
FC Saarbrücken vs Hansa Rostock markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Saarbrücken | 39.3% | 2.54 | +15.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Saarbrücken | 39.3% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Hansa Rostock | 33.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 20.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.3% |
| No | 22.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Saarbrücken win | 31.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.7% | |
| Loss | 49.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.6% |
| 2-2 | 7.0% | |
| 1-1 | 6.9% |
FC Saarbrücken vs Hansa Rostock stats
FC Saarbrücken and Hansa Rostock recent form
| FC Saarbrücken |
DWWLLW |
| Hansa Rostock |
LDWWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Saarbrücken vs Hansa Rostock head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | FC Saarbrücken | Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga | 3-4 |
| 2025-12-20 | Hansa Rostock | FC Saarbrücken | 3. Liga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Saarbrücken vs Hansa Rostock odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.6%, draw 29.2%, away 35.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.60 | 3.35 | 2.60 |
| 1xBet | 2.56 | 3.04 | 2.56 |
| Betano | 2.72 | 3.00 | 2.70 |
| Betfair | 2.45 | 3.25 | 2.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 3.25 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.56 | 3.04 | 2.56 |
| Pinnacle | 2.72 | 3.04 | 2.72 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .