DFB Pokal
·
Full time
·Round of 64
FC Saarbrücken
vs
Hertha BSC
1 – 1 Full time
FC Saarbrücken
26%
Draw
25%
Hertha BSC
49%
FC Saarbrücken vs Hertha BSC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Saarbrücken vs Hertha BSC
| Probability | FC Saarbrücken | Draw | Hertha BSC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.8% | 22.1% | 61.1% |
| Market | 28.6% | 26.0% | 45.3% |
| Final | 25.7% | 25.0% | 49.3% |
| Edge | -11.8% | -4.0% | +15.8% |
Why Hertha BSC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.15 vs 1.02.
- The market prices Hertha BSC below the model: +15.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
83%
3+ goals
61%
No goals
5%
FC Saarbrücken and Hertha BSC expected goals
FC Saarbrücken
1.02
Hertha BSC
2.15
Total expected goals: 3.17
FC Saarbrücken and Hertha BSC attack and defence ratings
FC Saarbrücken
Attack
1.09 +9%
Defence
0.95 -5%
Hertha BSC
Attack
0.98 -2%
Defence
0.98 -2%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Saarbrücken vs Hertha BSC: result vs prediction
FC Saarbrücken 1 – 1 Hertha BSC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
- Preußen Münster v Karlsruher SC — match page
- Waldhof Mannheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern — team news & stats
- SC St. Tönis vs Eintracht Frankfurt
- Hansa Rostock v VfB Stuttgart — match page
- SV Wehen vs Bayer Leverkusen — team news & stats
- Energie Cottbus vs Augsburg
- MSV Duisburg v SV Elversberg — match page
- Erzgebirge Aue vs Hoffenheim — team news & stats
Before and after this match
FC Saarbrücken vs Hertha BSC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hertha BSC | 49.3% | 2.03 | +15.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Hertha BSC win | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Saarbrücken | 25.7% |
| Draw | 25.0% | |
| Hertha BSC | 49.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.0% |
| No | 42.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hertha BSC win | 39.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 37.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.9% | |
| 0-2 | 9.5% |
FC Saarbrücken vs Hertha BSC stats
FC Saarbrücken and Hertha BSC recent form
| FC Saarbrücken |
WWLLWW |
| Hertha BSC |
WWLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Saarbrücken vs Hertha BSC head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
FC Saarbrücken vs Hertha BSC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.6%, draw 26.0%, away 45.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.10 | 3.70 | 2.02 |
| 1xBet | 3.26 | 3.58 | 2.08 |
| 888Sport | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.05 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 2.10 |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 3.30 | 3.45 | 2.10 |
| Betfair | 3.20 | 3.80 | 2.05 |
| Dafabet | 3.35 | 3.70 | 2.12 |
| Marathonbet | 3.26 | 3.58 | 2.06 |
| Pinnacle | 3.29 | 3.73 | 2.09 |
| SBO | 2.84 | 3.28 | 2.03 |
| Superbet | 3.25 | 3.55 | 2.07 |
| Unibet | 3.35 | 3.75 | 2.02 |
| William Hill | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.05 |