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3. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 4

SV Meppen vs FC Saarbrücken

1 – 6 Full time

5′Siemen Voet
24′Luca Prasse
28′Florian Pick
38′Ersin Zehir
44′Christian Kühlwetter
45′Alexander StaffKai Brünker
59′Siemen Voet
64′Cyrill AkonoSimon Engelmann
64′Oliver Issa SchmittRichard Christian·Meier
64′Luca PrasseJannic ehlers
69′Kelsey OwusuMaurice Multhaup
74′Tobias MissnerFlorian Bahr
77′Patrick SontheimerZac Shuaib
81′Philip Fahrner
83′Niclas Tibor NadjJona Borsum
83′Kai Brünker
84′Philip FahrnerCalogero Rizzuto
84′Christian KühlwetterKaan Caliskaner
90′Kaan Caliskaner

Hansch-Arena, MeppenReferee: K. Takasaki

SV Meppen 41%
Draw 26%
FC Saarbrücken 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 8
54 Possession % 46
9 Corners 6
17 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 1
2 Saves 4
336 Accurate passes 238

SV Meppen vs FC Saarbrücken overview

Garuda Lions analysis: SV Meppen vs FC Saarbrücken

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySV MeppenDrawFC Saarbrücken
Model52.6%23.6%23.8%
Market36.7%26.8%36.5%
Final40.7%26.0%33.3%
Edge+15.9%-3.2%-12.6%

Confidence: Low

Why SV Meppen

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.99 vs 1.30.
  • The market prices SV Meppen below the model: +15.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

SV Meppen ↓ / FC Saarbrücken → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 11% 6% 2 7% 10% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

SV Meppen and FC Saarbrücken expected goals

SV Meppen 1.99
FC Saarbrücken 1.30

Total expected goals: 3.29

SV Meppen and FC Saarbrücken attack and defence ratings

SV Meppen

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 0.83 -17%

FC Saarbrücken

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

SV Meppen vs FC Saarbrücken: result vs prediction

SV Meppen 1 – 6 FC Saarbrücken

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

3. Liga

Before and after this match

SV Meppen vs FC Saarbrücken markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 SV Meppen 40.7% 2.46 +15.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63.9% 1.57 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.8% 1.57 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.0% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.4% 2.11 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2SV Meppen40.7%
Draw26.0%
FC Saarbrücken33.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563.9%
Under 2.536.1%
Both teams to scoreYes63.8%
No36.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.7%
12 (either side)74.0%
X2 (draw or away)59.3%
Handicap -1SV Meppen win31.4%
Push (exactly one goal)21.2%
Loss47.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.6%
2-19.6%
2-07.4%

SV Meppen vs FC Saarbrücken stats

SV Meppen and FC Saarbrücken recent form

newest first
SV Meppen WWL
FC Saarbrücken LDWWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.

SV Meppen vs FC Saarbrücken head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

2SV Meppen wins 2Draws 2FC Saarbrücken wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-04-23SV MeppenFC Saarbrücken3. Liga1-0
2022-10-29FC SaarbrückenSV Meppen3. Liga0-0
2022-03-06FC SaarbrückenSV Meppen3. Liga1-0
2021-09-25SV MeppenFC Saarbrücken3. Liga2-2
2021-05-14FC SaarbrückenSV Meppen3. Liga2-0
2021-01-09SV MeppenFC Saarbrücken3. Liga1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

SV Meppen vs FC Saarbrücken odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.1%, draw 25.1%, away 43.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.45 3.70 1.95
1xBet 2.53 3.38 2.39
Bet365 2.40 3.40 2.50
Betano 3.35 3.60 2.02
Betfair 3.30 3.80 1.91
Dafabet 3.35 3.60 2.03
Marathonbet 2.43 3.36 2.49
Pinnacle 2.53 3.63 2.64
SBO 2.87 3.23 2.04
Unibet 3.20 3.55 1.98
William Hill 2.62 3.40 2.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.48 ▼ -0.92
X 3.39 ▼ -0.29
2 2.50 ▲ +0.60

9 snapshots recorded, from .