Garuda Lions
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3. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 4

Waldhof Mannheim vs Verl

0 – 1 Full time

12′Andre Leipold
32′Lukas Klünter
34′Janne Berner
44′Tim Heike
45′Janne BernerFelix Vogler
61′Lovis Frederik BierschenkNoah Joel Sarenren Bazee
62′Diego MichelVincent Thill
64′Mika Clausen
72′Gonçalo GregórioTerrence Boyd
72′Julian RieckmannMaximilian Thalhammer
72′Joey MullerLeroy-Jacques Mickels
75′Mika ClausenYari Otto
75′Tim HeikeFabian Wessig
79′Amin FaroukM. Kaube
82′nick seidel
87′Andre LeipoldAntonio Foti
90′M. Kaube

Carl-Benz Stadion, MannheimReferee: A. Nouhoum

Waldhof Mannheim 41%
Draw 25%
Verl 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 1
57 Possession % 43
4 Corners 2
10 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 3
0 Saves 6
429 Accurate passes 249

Waldhof Mannheim vs Verl overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Waldhof Mannheim vs Verl

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWaldhof MannheimDrawVerl
Model38.8%24.0%37.2%
Market41.7%24.9%33.4%
Final41.0%24.7%34.3%
Edge-2.9%-0.9%+3.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Waldhof Mannheim

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Waldhof Mannhe ↓ / Verl → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 69%
No goals 4%

Waldhof Mannheim and Verl expected goals

Waldhof Mannheim 1.79
Verl 1.75

Total expected goals: 3.54

Waldhof Mannheim and Verl attack and defence ratings

Waldhof Mannheim

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.27 +27%

Verl

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Waldhof Mannheim vs Verl: result vs prediction

Waldhof Mannheim 0 – 1 Verl

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

3. Liga

Before and after this match

Waldhof Mannheim vs Verl markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Waldhof Mannheim 41.0% 2.44 -2.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 68.6% 1.46 — —
Both teams to score Yes 69.7% 1.43 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.3% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.2% 1.63 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Waldhof Mannheim41.0%
Draw24.7%
Verl34.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.568.6%
Under 2.531.4%
Both teams to scoreYes69.7%
No30.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.7%
12 (either side)75.3%
X2 (draw or away)59.0%
Handicap -1Waldhof Mannheim win20.8%
Push (exactly one goal)18.0%
Loss61.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.0%
2-18.1%
1-28.0%

Waldhof Mannheim vs Verl stats

Waldhof Mannheim and Verl recent form

newest first
Waldhof Mannheim LLDWLW
Verl LLLLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Waldhof Mannheim vs Verl head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Waldhof Mannheim wins 6Draws 2Verl wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-17VerlWaldhof Mannheim3. Liga5-2
2025-08-02Waldhof MannheimVerl3. Liga2-2
2025-02-01Waldhof MannheimVerl3. Liga2-2
2024-08-25VerlWaldhof Mannheim3. Liga1-1
2024-04-27VerlWaldhof Mannheim3. Liga1-1
2023-11-24Waldhof MannheimVerl3. Liga1-2
2023-02-06Waldhof MannheimVerl3. Liga1-1
2022-08-07VerlWaldhof Mannheim3. Liga2-2
2022-03-12VerlWaldhof Mannheim3. Liga1-3
2021-10-03Waldhof MannheimVerl3. Liga2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Waldhof Mannheim vs Verl odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.5%, draw 24.9%, away 33.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.35 3.85 2.60
1xBet 2.17 3.64 2.75
Bet365 2.15 3.60 2.70
BetVictor 2.05 3.30 2.45
Betano 2.32 3.75 2.70
Betfair 2.30 3.80 2.50
Dafabet 2.30 3.80 2.70
Marathonbet 2.15 3.64 2.70
Pinnacle 2.24 4.06 2.80
SBO 2.15 3.41 2.54
Unibet 2.12 3.60 2.90
William Hill 2.20 3.60 2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.16 ▼ -0.14
X 3.62 ▼ -0.15
2 2.70 ▲ +0.13

11 snapshots recorded, from .