Verl
vs
Fortuna Köln
1 – 2 Full time
Verl vs Fortuna Köln overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Verl vs Fortuna Köln
| Probability | Verl | Draw | Fortuna Köln |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.4% | 27.5% | 30.1% |
| Market | 52.5% | 23.6% | 23.9% |
| Final | 50.0% | 24.6% | 25.4% |
| Edge | -10.1% | +3.9% | +6.2% |
Why Verl
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Verl and Fortuna Köln expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.77
Verl and Fortuna Köln attack and defence ratings
Verl
Fortuna Köln
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Verl vs Fortuna Köln: result vs prediction
Verl 1 – 2 Fortuna Köln
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
- Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Stuttgart II — team news & stats
- MSV Duisburg vs Würzburger Kickers
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach v FC Ingolstadt 04 — match page
- SV Wehen vs Rot-Weiß Essen — team news & stats
- Alemannia Aachen vs SV Meppen
- Hoffenheim II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg — team news & stats
- FC Saarbrücken vs Hansa Rostock
- Havelse v Waldhof Mannheim — match page
Before and after this match
Verl vs Fortuna Köln markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Verl | 50.0% | 2.00 | -10.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Verl | 50.0% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Fortuna Köln | 25.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.0% |
| No | 43.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Verl win | 21.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 57.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-0 | 8.3% |
Verl vs Fortuna Köln stats
Verl and Fortuna Köln recent form
| Verl |
LLLWLW |
| Fortuna Köln |
DL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Verl vs Fortuna Köln head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-09-20 | Fortuna Köln | Verl | Regionalliga - West | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Verl vs Fortuna Köln odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.5%, draw 23.6%, away 23.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.75 | 3.95 | 4.10 |
| 1xBet | 1.76 | 3.90 | 3.64 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.70 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.78 | 3.95 | 3.95 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| Dafabet | 1.76 | 3.95 | 3.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.74 | 3.90 | 3.58 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79 | 4.21 | 3.62 |
| SBO | 1.67 | 3.59 | 3.67 |
| Superbet | 1.77 | 3.90 | 3.85 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.80 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .