Verl
vs
Hamburger SV
0 – 3 Full time
Verl vs Hamburger SV overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Verl vs Hamburger SV
| Probability | Verl | Draw | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.6% | 25.2% | 52.2% |
| Market | 15.4% | 18.8% | 65.8% |
| Final | 17.2% | 20.4% | 62.4% |
| Edge | +7.2% | +6.4% | -13.6% |
Why Hamburger SV
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.13.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Verl and Hamburger SV expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.94
Verl and Hamburger SV attack and defence ratings
Verl
Hamburger SV
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Verl vs Hamburger SV: result vs prediction
Verl 0 – 3 Hamburger SV
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
- Preußen Münster v Karlsruher SC — match page
- Waldhof Mannheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern — team news & stats
- SC St. Tönis vs Eintracht Frankfurt
- Hansa Rostock v VfB Stuttgart — match page
- SV Wehen vs Bayer Leverkusen — team news & stats
- Energie Cottbus vs Augsburg
- MSV Duisburg v SV Elversberg — match page
- Erzgebirge Aue vs Hoffenheim — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Verl vs Hamburger SV markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hamburger SV | 62.4% | 1.60 | -13.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Verl | 17.2% |
| Draw | 20.4% | |
| Hamburger SV | 62.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% |
| No | 42.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 37.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hamburger SV win | 29.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 47.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.7% |
Verl vs Hamburger SV stats
Verl and Hamburger SV recent form
| Verl |
LLWLWL |
| Hamburger SV |
DWWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Verl vs Hamburger SV head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Verl vs Hamburger SV odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 15.4%, draw 18.8%, away 65.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 5.60 | 4.70 | 1.43 |
| 1xBet | 6.14 | 5.25 | 1.40 |
| 888Sport | 5.75 | 4.80 | 1.40 |
| Bet365 | 7.00 | 4.75 | 1.40 |
| BetVictor | 6.00 | 4.80 | 1.40 |
| Betano | 6.60 | 5.10 | 1.47 |
| Betfair | 6.00 | 5.00 | 1.36 |
| Dafabet | 6.40 | 5.20 | 1.44 |
| Marathonbet | 6.15 | 5.25 | 1.39 |
| Pinnacle | 5.73 | 5.45 | 1.43 |
| SBO | 5.99 | 4.82 | 1.37 |
| Superbet | 6.00 | 4.90 | 1.41 |
| Unibet | 5.30 | 4.90 | 1.48 |
| William Hill | 5.80 | 4.80 | 1.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .