Fortuna Köln
vs
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0 – 0 Full time
| 24′ | Maximilian Fischer | ||
| 46′ | Marcel Benger | ||
| 61′ | Eric HottmannPhilipp Förster | ||
| 62′ | Matthias ZimmermannSteven Van Der Sloot | ||
| 62′ | Yassine BouchamaLukas Eixler | ||
| 68′ | R. AfamefunaFlorian Heister | ||
| 68′ | N. ThierTom Geerkens | ||
| 68′ | Marcel BengerElias Arden | ||
| 76′ | Erik WekesserSascha Risch | ||
| 77′ | Enzo WirtzJannik Mause | ||
| 77′ | Bennit BrögerCedric Harenbrock | ||
| 88′ | Neo TelleSeymour Fünger |
Match stats
| 5 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 33 | Possession % | 67 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 7 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 202 | Accurate passes | 480 |
Fortuna Köln vs Fortuna Düsseldorf overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fortuna Köln vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
| Probability | Fortuna Köln | Draw | Fortuna Düsseldorf |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58.3% | 24.9% | 16.8% |
| Market | 30.4% | 27.2% | 42.4% |
| Final | 37.4% | 26.6% | 36.0% |
| Edge | +27.9% | -2.3% | -25.7% |
Why Fortuna Köln
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 0.88.
- The market prices Fortuna Köln below the model: +27.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fortuna Köln and Fortuna Düsseldorf expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.68
Fortuna Köln and Fortuna Düsseldorf attack and defence ratings
Fortuna Köln
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fortuna Köln vs Fortuna Düsseldorf: result vs prediction
Fortuna Köln 0 – 0 Fortuna Düsseldorf
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
- FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Alemannia Aachen
- SSV Jahn Regensburg v MSV Duisburg — match page
- Preußen Münster vs Havelse — team news & stats
- SV Meppen vs FC Saarbrücken
- Hansa Rostock v SV Wehen — match page
- Waldhof Mannheim vs Verl — team news & stats
- Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Viktoria Köln
- Würzburger Kickers v Stuttgart II — match page
Before and after this match
Fortuna Köln vs Fortuna Düsseldorf markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fortuna Köln | 37.4% | 2.68 | +27.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.1% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fortuna Köln | 37.4% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | 36.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.9% |
| No | 50.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fortuna Köln win | 34.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.0% | |
| Loss | 41.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 1-0 | 11.3% | |
| 2-0 | 11.2% |
Fortuna Köln vs Fortuna Düsseldorf stats
Fortuna Köln and Fortuna Düsseldorf recent form
| Fortuna Köln |
WDL |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf |
WLLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.
Fortuna Köln vs Fortuna Düsseldorf head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Fortuna Köln vs Fortuna Düsseldorf odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.7%, draw 27.1%, away 42.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.95 | 3.55 | 2.25 |
| 1xBet | 3.00 | 3.34 | 2.14 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.75 | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 2.92 | 3.55 | 2.25 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 3.45 | 2.22 |
| Marathonbet | 2.95 | 3.34 | 2.12 |
| Pinnacle | 3.10 | 3.58 | 2.23 |
| SBO | 2.83 | 3.12 | 2.09 |
| William Hill | 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .