Hoffenheim II
vs
Fortuna Köln
2 – 2 Full time
| 11′ | Klaus Gjasula | ||
| 27′ | Y. Zor | ||
| 30′ | Maximilian Fischer | ||
| 37′ | Neo Telle | ||
| 61′ | Neo TelleFlorian Heister | ||
| 61′ | Enzo WirtzJannik Mause | ||
| 61′ | N. ThierTom Geerkens | ||
| 67′ | Bennit Bröger | ||
| 74′ | Romeo AigbekaenTimo Bornemann | ||
| 75′ | Juan Tiago Esteban PollerLuis Engelns | ||
| 75′ | Natnael AbrahaM. Moore | ||
| 83′ | Klaus GjasulaDiren Dağdeviren | ||
| 83′ | Y. ZorAlex honajzer | ||
| 84′ | Bennit BrögerHamadi Al Ghaddioui | ||
| 90′ | jakov dedicBen Opoku Labes | ||
| 90′ | Hamadi Al Ghaddioui |
Match stats
| 25 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
Hoffenheim II vs Fortuna Köln overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hoffenheim II vs Fortuna Köln
| Probability | Hoffenheim II | Draw | Fortuna Köln |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.5% | 29.4% | 31.2% |
| Market | 44.7% | 26.4% | 29.0% |
| Final | 43.4% | 27.1% | 29.5% |
| Edge | -5.2% | +3.0% | +2.2% |
Why Hoffenheim II
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hoffenheim II and Fortuna Köln expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.51
Hoffenheim II and Fortuna Köln attack and defence ratings
Hoffenheim II
Fortuna Köln
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Hoffenheim II vs Fortuna Köln: result vs prediction
Hoffenheim II 2 – 2 Fortuna Köln
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- FC Viktoria Köln v Hansa Rostock — match page
- Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg — team news & stats
- Rot-Weiß Essen vs Würzburger Kickers
- FC Saarbrücken v FC Ingolstadt 04 — match page
- Verl vs SV Meppen — team news & stats
- Havelse vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- Alemannia Aachen v SSV Jahn Regensburg — match page
- Stuttgart II vs Preußen Münster — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Hoffenheim II vs Fortuna Köln markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hoffenheim II | 43.4% | 2.31 | -5.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hoffenheim II | 43.4% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Fortuna Köln | 29.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.1% |
| No | 47.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hoffenheim II win | 18.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 60.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 1-0 | 9.6% | |
| 0-0 | 9.4% |
Hoffenheim II vs Fortuna Köln stats
Hoffenheim II and Fortuna Köln recent form
| Hoffenheim II |
LWWLLW |
| Fortuna Köln |
DWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hoffenheim II vs Fortuna Köln head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Hoffenheim II vs Fortuna Köln odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.7%, draw 26.4%, away 29.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.01 | 3.40 | 3.24 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.55 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.99 | 3.40 | 3.18 |
| Pinnacle | 2.07 | 3.65 | 3.40 |
| SBO | 2.09 | 3.28 | 2.71 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .