Havelse
vs
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
2 – 2 Full time
| 6′ | Alexander Guiddir | ||
| 32′ | Loris Maier | ||
| 34′ | Robin Velasco | ||
| 42′ | Kevin Schumacher | ||
| 45′ | V. Celiktas | ||
| 45′ | Eryk Artur GrzywaczJesse Edem Tugbenyo | ||
| 45′ | Kwasi Okyere WriedtLorenzo Paldino | ||
| 45′ | Robin VelascoMarc Richter | ||
| 45′ | Loris MaierTim Rossmann | ||
| 54′ | Lorenzo Paldino | ||
| 58′ | dennis duah | ||
| 70′ | Fabian EiseleMarlon Freddy Faß | ||
| 70′ | Niklas PollexChristian Mistl | ||
| 73′ | Jesse Edem Tugbenyo | ||
| 80′ | Tim Rossmann | ||
| 82′ | Johann Berger | ||
| 84′ | Yannick mausehundMax·Lamby | ||
| 84′ | V. CeliktasLeon Maier | ||
| 88′ | Alexander Guiddir | ||
| 89′ | Lukas StoppelNikos Zografakis | ||
| 90′ | Kevin SchumacherTemilola Awoyale | ||
| 90′ | Alexander Guiddir |
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 41 | Possession % | 59 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
Havelse vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Havelse vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
| Probability | Havelse | Draw | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.3% | 25.3% | 30.4% |
| Market | 30.2% | 25.0% | 44.8% |
| Final | 33.8% | 25.1% | 41.2% |
| Edge | +14.1% | +0.3% | -14.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Havelse and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.18
Havelse and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach attack and defence ratings
Havelse
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Havelse vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach: result vs prediction
Havelse 2 – 2 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- FC Viktoria Köln v Hansa Rostock — match page
- Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg — team news & stats
- Rot-Weiß Essen vs Würzburger Kickers
- FC Saarbrücken v FC Ingolstadt 04 — match page
- Verl vs SV Meppen — team news & stats
- Alemannia Aachen v SSV Jahn Regensburg — match page
- Stuttgart II vs Preußen Münster — team news & stats
- SV Wehen vs Waldhof Mannheim
Before and after this match
Havelse vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 41.2% | 2.43 | -14.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Havelse | 33.8% |
| Draw | 25.1% | |
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 41.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.9% |
| No | 36.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach win | 14.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.1% | |
| Loss | 69.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-2 | 7.4% |
Havelse vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach stats
Havelse and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach recent form
| Havelse |
LWLLLW |
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach |
WLDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Havelse vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Havelse vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.2%, draw 25.0%, away 44.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.04 | 3.62 | 2.02 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.30 | 1.90 |
| Betano | 3.05 | 3.70 | 2.10 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.80 | 2.05 |
| Marathonbet | 2.99 | 3.62 | 2.00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.09 | 3.93 | 2.09 |
| SBO | 2.75 | 3.26 | 2.08 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .