MSV Duisburg
vs
Havelse
2 – 1 Full time
| 13′ | Joshua Bitterniklas jessen | ||
| 18′ | Yannick mausehund | ||
| 39′ | Rasim Bulic | ||
| 39′ | Ifeanyi David Nduka | ||
| 45′ | Max BesuschkowAljaž Casar | ||
| 45′ | Jakob BookjansRamien Safi | ||
| 45′ | Dominik KotherPatrick Sussek | ||
| 61′ | Eric Voufack | ||
| 64′ | Yannick mausehund | ||
| 66′ | Rasim BulicFlorian Krüger | ||
| 69′ | Eryk Artur GrzywaczMax·Lamby | ||
| 77′ | Omer HaninTom Opitz | ||
| 77′ | Johann BergerJannik Oltrogge | ||
| 77′ | Alexander GuiddirLorenzo Paldino | ||
| 79′ | Patrick Sussek | ||
| 81′ | Eric VoufackRobin Velasco | ||
| 90′ | dennis duah |
Match stats
| 0 | Shots on target | 0 |
|---|---|---|
| 69 | Possession % | 31 |
MSV Duisburg vs Havelse overview
Garuda Lions analysis: MSV Duisburg vs Havelse
| Probability | MSV Duisburg | Draw | Havelse |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.0% | 17.4% | 14.5% |
| Market | 72.0% | 17.3% | 10.7% |
| Final | 71.0% | 17.3% | 11.7% |
| Edge | -4.0% | +0.1% | +3.8% |
Why MSV Duisburg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.75 vs 1.26.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
MSV Duisburg and Havelse expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.00
MSV Duisburg and Havelse attack and defence ratings
MSV Duisburg
Havelse
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
MSV Duisburg vs Havelse: result vs prediction
MSV Duisburg 2 – 1 Havelse
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf — team news & stats
- Würzburger Kickers v Alemannia Aachen — match page
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Verl — team news & stats
- SV Meppen vs FC Viktoria Köln
- FC Ingolstadt 04 v Hoffenheim II — match page
- Preußen Münster vs FC Saarbrücken — team news & stats
- Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II
- Fortuna Köln v SV Wehen — match page
Before and after this match
MSV Duisburg vs Havelse markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | MSV Duisburg | 71.0% | 1.41 | -4.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | MSV Duisburg win | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | MSV Duisburg | 71.0% |
| Draw | 17.3% | |
| Havelse | 11.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.6% |
| No | 32.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 29.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | MSV Duisburg win | 48.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 32.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.7% |
| 3-1 | 7.9% | |
| 1-1 | 6.9% |
MSV Duisburg vs Havelse stats
MSV Duisburg and Havelse recent form
| MSV Duisburg |
LWWLWW |
| Havelse |
DLWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
MSV Duisburg and Havelse going into this match
MSV Duisburg record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Havelse record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
MSV Duisburg vs Havelse head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | MSV Duisburg | Havelse | 3. Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Havelse | MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga | 1-1 |
| 2022-01-14 | Havelse | MSV Duisburg | 3. Liga | 0-1 |
| 2021-08-08 | MSV Duisburg | Havelse | 3. Liga | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
MSV Duisburg vs Havelse odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 72.0%, draw 17.3%, away 10.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.25 | 5.20 | 8.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 5.50 | 7.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.20 | 4.50 | 7.00 |
| Betano | 1.30 | 5.50 | 8.25 |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 5.50 | 9.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.24 | 5.20 | 8.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.28 | 5.67 | 10.37 |
| SBO | 1.29 | 4.94 | 6.66 |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 5.00 | 9.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .