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3. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 6

Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II

3 – 2 Full time

13′Ertugrul YigitNicolás Sessa
23′Leon Dajaku
31′Julian Lüers
45′David PreuJoyeux Masanka Bungi
45′Jordan MajchrzakOliver Rölke
50′Kenan Fatkic
54′Lauri Lukas Penna
59′Bernie LennemannYannick Michaelis
59′Enis RedzepiTim van der Leij
65′Veit Stange
69′Andreas VoglsammerPeter Kiedl
69′David KopaczBenno Dietze
71′Niklas Kolle
76′Dominik NothnagelCollin Schramm
85′Leon DajakuMaximilian Krauss
87′Benno Dietze

Ostseestadion, RostockReferee: L. Exuzidis

Hansa Rostock 56%
Draw 21%
Stuttgart II 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 4
41 Possession % 59
3 Corners 4

Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHansa RostockDrawStuttgart II
Model46.4%19.0%34.7%
Market59.8%21.3%18.9%
Final56.4%20.7%22.8%
Edge-13.4%-2.4%+15.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Hansa Rostock

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.68 vs 2.34.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Hansa Rostock ↓ / Stuttgart II → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 5% 4% 4% 2 6% 6% 5% 5% 3 5% 6% 5% 5% 4+ 6% 7% 6% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 96%
3+ goals 88%
No goals 1%

Hansa Rostock and Stuttgart II expected goals

Hansa Rostock 2.68
Stuttgart II 2.34

Total expected goals: 5.02

Hansa Rostock and Stuttgart II attack and defence ratings

Hansa Rostock

Attack 1.22 +22%
Defence 1.39 +39%

Stuttgart II

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 1.26 +26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II: result vs prediction

Hansa Rostock 3 – 2 Stuttgart II

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

3. Liga

Before and after this match

Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Hansa Rostock 56.4% 1.77 -13.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 87.7% 1.14 — —
Both teams to score Yes 84.6% 1.18 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 79.3% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.6% 1.87 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Hansa Rostock56.4%
Draw20.7%
Stuttgart II22.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.587.7%
Under 2.512.3%
Both teams to scoreYes84.6%
No15.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.2%
12 (either side)79.3%
X2 (draw or away)43.6%
Handicap -1Hansa Rostock win29.5%
Push (exactly one goal)16.9%
Loss53.6%
Correct score (top 3)2-26.5%
3-25.8%
2-15.5%

Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II stats

Hansa Rostock and Stuttgart II recent form

newest first
Hansa Rostock LDWLDW
Stuttgart II LWLLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Hansa Rostock and Stuttgart II going into this match

league record before kick-off

Hansa Rostock record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.

Stuttgart II record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Hansa Rostock wins 1Draws 3Stuttgart II wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-09Hansa RostockStuttgart II3. Liga5-3
2025-12-13Stuttgart IIHansa Rostock3. Liga0-1
2025-01-18Stuttgart IIHansa Rostock3. Liga0-3
2024-08-03Hansa RostockStuttgart II3. Liga1-1
2016-04-16Hansa RostockStuttgart II3. Liga2-0
2015-10-30Stuttgart IIHansa Rostock3. Liga3-1
2015-05-08Stuttgart IIHansa Rostock3. Liga3-2
2014-11-08Hansa RostockStuttgart II3. Liga4-1
2014-01-24Stuttgart IIHansa Rostock3. Liga4-1
2013-08-11Hansa RostockStuttgart II3. Liga3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 59.8%, draw 21.3%, away 18.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.50 4.20 4.99
Bet365 1.50 4.00 4.75
BetVictor 1.45 3.75 4.10
Betano 1.57 4.55 4.65
Betfair 1.44 4.60 5.00
Marathonbet 1.49 4.20 4.80
Pinnacle 1.56 4.63 5.01
SBO 1.50 4.08 4.28
William Hill 1.53 4.00 4.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.50 ▼ -0.06
X 4.20 ▼ -0.12
2 4.75 ▲ +0.33

10 snapshots recorded, from .