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3. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 6

Preußen Münster vs FC Saarbrücken

3 – 3 Full time

4′Alexander Staff
19′Kelsey Owusu
21′Charalampos Makridis
29′Florian Pick
57′Lucas Christopher Zeller
59′Florian Pick
59′Alexander StaffMaurice Multhaup
59′Kelsey OwusuChristian Kühlwetter
61′Samuel Moïse AlthausMontell Ndikom
61′Marvin SchulzFelix Higl
62′Montell Ndikom
71′Philipp MaierRico Preißinger
71′Ryan JohanssonWesley Adeh
78′Calogero RizzutoPhilip Fahrner
78′Daniel GleiberAbdoulaye Kamara
85′Kai BrünkerKaan Caliskaner
86′Niklas VarelmannLeon Tasov

Preussenstadion, MunsterReferee: S. Schreiner

Preußen Münster 33%
Draw 26%
FC Saarbrücken 42%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 5
47 Possession % 53
2 Corners 11

Preußen Münster vs FC Saarbrücken overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Preußen Münster vs FC Saarbrücken

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPreußen MünsterDrawFC Saarbrücken
Model27.9%22.9%49.2%
Market34.1%26.8%39.1%
Final32.6%25.8%41.6%
Edge-6.2%-3.9%+10.1%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Saarbrücken

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.07 vs 1.54.
  • The market prices FC Saarbrücken below the model: +10.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Preußen Münste ↓ / FC Saarbrücken → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 9% 9% 6% 5% 2 7% 7% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 70%
No goals 4%

Preußen Münster and FC Saarbrücken expected goals

Preußen Münster 1.54
FC Saarbrücken 2.07

Total expected goals: 3.62

Preußen Münster and FC Saarbrücken attack and defence ratings

Preußen Münster

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 1.18 +18%

FC Saarbrücken

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Preußen Münster vs FC Saarbrücken: result vs prediction

Preußen Münster 3 – 3 FC Saarbrücken

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

3. Liga

Before and after this match

Preußen Münster vs FC Saarbrücken markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Saarbrücken 41.6% 2.40 +10.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 70.0% 1.43 — —
Both teams to score Yes 69.6% 1.44 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.2% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.8% 1.97 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Preußen Münster32.6%
Draw25.8%
FC Saarbrücken41.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570.0%
Under 2.530.0%
Both teams to scoreYes69.6%
No30.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)58.4%
12 (either side)74.2%
X2 (draw or away)67.4%
Handicap -1FC Saarbrücken win29.3%
Push (exactly one goal)19.9%
Loss50.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.5%
1-28.9%
2-26.9%

Preußen Münster vs FC Saarbrücken stats

Preußen Münster and FC Saarbrücken recent form

newest first
Preußen Münster WWLLDW
FC Saarbrücken LWLDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Preußen Münster and FC Saarbrücken going into this match

league record before kick-off

Preußen Münster record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.

FC Saarbrücken record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Preußen Münster vs FC Saarbrücken head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Preußen Münster wins 5Draws 0FC Saarbrücken wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-05-05Preußen MünsterFC Saarbrücken3. Liga4-1
2023-12-02FC SaarbrückenPreußen Münster3. Liga0-0
2014-04-20Preußen MünsterFC Saarbrücken3. Liga2-0
2013-11-09FC SaarbrückenPreußen Münster3. Liga2-2
2013-04-06Preußen MünsterFC Saarbrücken3. Liga3-3
2012-10-06FC SaarbrückenPreußen Münster3. Liga0-0
2012-04-14Preußen MünsterFC Saarbrücken3. Liga1-0
2011-11-05FC SaarbrückenPreußen Münster3. Liga2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Preußen Münster vs FC Saarbrücken odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.1%, draw 26.8%, away 39.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.62 3.34 2.29
Bet365 2.60 3.25 2.38
BetVictor 2.40 3.10 2.15
Betano 2.75 3.40 2.42
Betfair 2.63 3.60 2.20
Marathonbet 2.62 3.34 2.29
Pinnacle 2.80 3.56 2.43
SBO 2.53 3.22 2.26
William Hill 2.62 3.25 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.62 ▲ +0.20
X 3.34 ▼ -0.21
2 2.29 ▼ -0.17

10 snapshots recorded, from .