3. Liga · 2026-09-16T17:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 6

Fortuna Köln vs SV Wehen

0 – 2 Full time

13′			Roberto Massimo
28′			David Al Azzawe
36′			Maximilian Fischer
44′			Moritz flotho
45′			Ayoub Chaikhoun
57′			Hamadi Al GhaddiouiKevin Krumme
57′			R. AfamefunaJannik Mause
60′			Ayoub Chaikhoun
61′			Roberto MassimoRobin Kalem
61′			Raul PaulaLukas Schleimer
63′			Adrian Stanilewicz
67′			Moritz flothoMarcus Muller
67′			Adrian StanilewiczEnzo Wirtz
74′			Bennit Bröger
77′			Niklas MayFabian Greilinger
77′			Max BrandtGino Fechner
77′			Florian HeisterTimo Bornemann
77′			Romeo AigbekaenCedric Harenbrock
90′			Tom Geerkens

Referee: T. Schulz

Fortuna Köln

40%

Draw

27%

SV Wehen

32%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

0	Shots on target	0
64	Possession %	36

Fortuna Köln vs SV Wehen overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Fortuna Köln vs SV Wehen

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Fortuna Köln	Draw	SV Wehen
Model	59.9%	25.5%	14.7%
Market	34.0%	27.9%	38.1%
Final	40.5%	27.3%	32.2%
Edge	+25.9%	-2.5%	-23.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Fortuna Köln

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 0.75.
Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 5 vs 0 for the opposition.
The market prices Fortuna Köln below the model: +25.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

91%

2+ goals

72%

3+ goals

45%

No goals

Fortuna Köln and SV Wehen expected goals

Fortuna Köln

1.73

SV Wehen

0.75

Total expected goals: 2.48

Fortuna Köln and SV Wehen attack and defence ratings

Fortuna Köln

Attack

0.83 -17%

Defence

0.82 -18%

SV Wehen

Attack

0.62 -38%

Defence

1.19 +19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Fortuna Köln vs SV Wehen: result vs prediction

Fortuna Köln 0 – 2 SV Wehen

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

3. Liga

SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf — team news & stats · 2026-09-15
MSV Duisburg vs Havelse · 2026-09-15
Würzburger Kickers v Alemannia Aachen — match page · 2026-09-15
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Verl — team news & stats · 2026-09-15
SV Meppen vs FC Viktoria Köln · 2026-09-15
FC Ingolstadt 04 v Hoffenheim II — match page · 2026-09-16
Preußen Münster vs FC Saarbrücken — team news & stats · 2026-09-16
Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II · 2026-09-16

Before and after this match

Fortuna Köln, previous: Hoffenheim II v Fortuna Köln analysis
Fortuna Köln, next: Havelse vs Fortuna Köln prediction
SV Wehen, previous: SV Wehen – Waldhof Mannheim, 2026-09-13
SV Wehen, next: SV Wehen v MSV Duisburg analysis

Fortuna Köln vs SV Wehen markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Fortuna Köln	40.5%	2.47	+25.9%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	55.0%	1.82	—	—
Both teams to score	No	55.7%	1.80	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	72.7%	1.38	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	40.1%	2.49	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Fortuna Köln	40.5%
	Draw	27.3%
	SV Wehen	32.2%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	45.0%
	Under 2.5	55.0%
Both teams to score	Yes	44.3%
	No	55.7%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	67.8%
	12 (either side)	72.7%
	X2 (draw or away)	59.5%
Handicap -1	Fortuna Köln win	34.8%
	Push (exactly one goal)	25.1%
	Loss	40.1%
Correct score (top 3)	1-0	13.5%
	2-0	12.6%
	1-1	11.9%

Fortuna Köln vs SV Wehen stats

Fortuna Köln and SV Wehen recent form

newest first

Fortuna Köln	DDWDL
SV Wehen	LDDLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.

Fortuna Köln and SV Wehen going into this match

league record before kick-off

Fortuna Köln record

They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.

SV Wehen record

They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Fortuna Köln vs SV Wehen head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Fortuna Köln wins 2Draws 4SV Wehen wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2019-04-13	SV Wehen	Fortuna Köln	3. Liga	3-0
2018-11-04	Fortuna Köln	SV Wehen	3. Liga	0-7
2018-02-17	Fortuna Köln	SV Wehen	3. Liga	1-0
2017-08-26	SV Wehen	Fortuna Köln	3. Liga	1-1
2017-02-11	Fortuna Köln	SV Wehen	3. Liga	0-0
2016-08-09	SV Wehen	Fortuna Köln	3. Liga	3-0
2016-02-20	Fortuna Köln	SV Wehen	3. Liga	4-1
2015-09-05	SV Wehen	Fortuna Köln	3. Liga	3-0
2015-05-16	Fortuna Köln	SV Wehen	3. Liga	2-1
2014-11-22	SV Wehen	Fortuna Köln	3. Liga	0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Fortuna Köln vs SV Wehen odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.0%, draw 27.9%, away 38.1%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.64	3.20	2.34
Bet365	2.62	3.25	2.35
BetVictor	2.45	3.00	2.20
Betano	2.77	3.35	2.45
Betfair	2.63	3.30	2.30
Marathonbet	2.64	3.20	2.34
Pinnacle	2.80	3.44	2.49
SBO	2.46	3.02	2.41
William Hill	2.62	3.10	2.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.63 ▲ +0.24

X 3.20 ▼ -0.10

2 2.35 ▼ -0.25

5 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-14T16:10:02Z.