3. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 5

Stuttgart II vs Preußen Münster

1 – 2 Full time

8′Lauri Lukas Penna
13′Marvin Schulz
36′Leon Tasov
45′Rico PreißingerLouis Philipp Kolbe
45′Leon TasovPhilipp Maier
45′Ertugrul YigitA. Janjic
62′Maximilian Tobias HerwerthDominik Nothnagel
68′Philipp Maier
70′Felix HiglMontell Ndikom
70′Enis RedzepiTim van der Leij
75′Marvin Schulz
79′David PreuJordan Majchrzak
82′Niklas Varelmann
84′Marvin SchulzSamuel Moïse Althaus
84′Ryan JohanssonRomario Rosch

WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, AspachReferee: N. Rose

Stuttgart II 43%
Draw 24%
Preußen Münster 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 4
49 Possession % 51
1 Corners 4

Stuttgart II vs Preußen Münster overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Stuttgart II vs Preußen Münster

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityStuttgart IIDrawPreußen Münster
Model59.8%19.2%21.0%
Market37.2%26.2%36.6%
Final42.9%24.4%32.7%
Edge+22.6%-7.0%-15.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Stuttgart II

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.63 vs 1.56.
  • The market prices Stuttgart II below the model: +22.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Stuttgart II ↓ / Preußen Münste → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 5% 2 5% 8% 6% 3 5% 7% 6% 4+ 6% 9% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 93%
3+ goals 79%
No goals 2%

Stuttgart II and Preußen Münster expected goals

Stuttgart II 2.63
Preußen Münster 1.56

Total expected goals: 4.19

Stuttgart II and Preußen Münster attack and defence ratings

Stuttgart II

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 1.26 +26%

Preußen Münster

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.25 +25%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Stuttgart II vs Preußen Münster: result vs prediction

Stuttgart II 1 – 2 Preußen Münster

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

3. Liga

Before and after this match

Stuttgart II vs Preußen Münster markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Stuttgart II 42.9% 2.33 +22.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 78.8% 1.27 — —
Both teams to score Yes 73.9% 1.35 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.6% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Stuttgart II win 40.3% 2.48 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Stuttgart II42.9%
Draw24.4%
Preußen Münster32.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.578.8%
Under 2.521.2%
Both teams to scoreYes73.9%
No26.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.3%
12 (either side)75.6%
X2 (draw or away)57.1%
Handicap -1Stuttgart II win40.3%
Push (exactly one goal)19.5%
Loss40.2%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.2%
3-17.2%
1-16.8%

Stuttgart II vs Preußen Münster stats

Stuttgart II and Preußen Münster recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Stuttgart II vs Preußen Münster head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Stuttgart II wins 4Draws 4Preußen Münster wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2015-12-19Preußen MünsterStuttgart II3. Liga1-2
2015-07-31Stuttgart IIPreußen Münster3. Liga1-3
2014-12-13Preußen MünsterStuttgart II3. Liga1-0
2014-08-02Stuttgart IIPreußen Münster3. Liga0-3
2014-02-21Stuttgart IIPreußen Münster3. Liga0-0
2013-09-04Preußen MünsterStuttgart II3. Liga1-3
2013-04-16Stuttgart IIPreußen Münster3. Liga0-1
2012-09-01Preußen MünsterStuttgart II3. Liga0-0
2012-03-13Stuttgart IIPreußen Münster3. Liga1-1
2011-08-27Preußen MünsterStuttgart II3. Liga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Stuttgart II vs Preußen Münster odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.2%, draw 26.2%, away 36.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.42 3.44 2.46
Bet365 2.45 3.40 2.45
BetVictor 2.25 3.20 2.25
Betano 2.52 3.55 2.55
Betfair 2.40 3.60 2.40
Marathonbet 2.42 3.44 2.46
Pinnacle 2.57 3.75 2.54
SBO 2.20 3.26 2.57
William Hill 2.45 3.40 2.45

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.42 ▲ +0.16
X 3.44 ▲ +0.04
2 2.46 ▼ -0.29

5 snapshots recorded, from .