Alemannia Aachen
vs
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2 – 2 Full time
| 8′ | Mika Schroers | ||
| 20′ | Leopold wurm | ||
| 23′ | Louis Köster | ||
| 34′ | Danilo WiebeJustin von der Hitz | ||
| 38′ | Lucas Hermes | ||
| 42′ | Felix Straussl | ||
| 45′ | Benedikt BauerNicolas kisilowski | ||
| 45′ | Adrian FeinLeo Mätzler | ||
| 50′ | Sascha Hingerl | ||
| 68′ | David Lennart PhilippNassim Boujellab | ||
| 69′ | Jonas Oehmichen | ||
| 77′ | Matti WagnerGeorg Ermolaev | ||
| 77′ | Louis KösterKacper Koscierski | ||
| 78′ | Mehdi Loune | ||
| 78′ | Malte KarbsteinJakob Seibold | ||
| 81′ | Erik Majetschak | ||
| 84′ | Nassim Boujellab | ||
| 85′ | Sascha HingerlPatrick Hobsch | ||
| 89′ | Petros Bagalianis | ||
| 90′ | Mika SchroersD. Starodid | ||
| 90′ | Justin von der HitzKen Eghosa Gideon Izekor | ||
| 90′ | Kacper Koscierski |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 51 | Possession % | 49 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
Alemannia Aachen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Alemannia Aachen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg
| Probability | Alemannia Aachen | Draw | SSV Jahn Regensburg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 76.3% | 14.5% | 9.3% |
| Market | 51.8% | 24.0% | 24.2% |
| Final | 57.9% | 21.6% | 20.5% |
| Edge | +24.5% | -9.5% | -15.0% |
Why Alemannia Aachen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.99 vs 1.02.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Alemannia Aachen below the model: +24.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Alemannia Aachen and SSV Jahn Regensburg expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.01
Alemannia Aachen and SSV Jahn Regensburg attack and defence ratings
Alemannia Aachen
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Alemannia Aachen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg: result vs prediction
Alemannia Aachen 2 – 2 SSV Jahn Regensburg
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- FC Viktoria Köln v Hansa Rostock — match page
- Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg — team news & stats
- Rot-Weiß Essen vs Würzburger Kickers
- FC Saarbrücken v FC Ingolstadt 04 — match page
- Verl vs SV Meppen — team news & stats
- Havelse vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- Stuttgart II vs Preußen Münster — team news & stats
- SV Wehen vs Waldhof Mannheim
Before and after this match
Alemannia Aachen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alemannia Aachen | 57.9% | 1.73 | +24.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Alemannia Aachen win | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alemannia Aachen | 57.9% |
| Draw | 21.6% | |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg | 20.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.5% |
| No | 38.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Alemannia Aachen win | 57.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.6% | |
| Loss | 23.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.3% |
| 3-1 | 8.2% | |
| 2-0 | 8.1% |
Alemannia Aachen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg stats
Alemannia Aachen and SSV Jahn Regensburg recent form
| Alemannia Aachen |
WLDWWW |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg |
LLLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Alemannia Aachen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | Alemannia Aachen | 3. Liga | 1-3 |
| 2025-11-22 | Alemannia Aachen | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 3. Liga | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Alemannia Aachen vs SSV Jahn Regensburg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.8%, draw 24.0%, away 24.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.75 | 3.78 | 3.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.70 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 1.80 | 3.85 | 3.90 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.73 | 3.78 | 3.74 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79 | 4.14 | 3.93 |
| SBO | 1.82 | 3.52 | 3.38 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .